Afternoon Note
Today’s session is more like traditional price discovery than the more violent sessions of the past two weeks, although pivots are happening quickly. There were early wild swings, but there is something more orderly happening now.
It is clear more buyers are emerging but overcoming the level of angst is a multi-session chore outside of news of coronavirus vaccine(s) and treatments. For only the second time during this meltdown, a rally effort is being led by offensive (read growth) sectors and individual stocks.
There is also a focus on deeply discounted and oversold sectors. Hence, the move in Consumer Discretionary, Energy and Materials.
Interestingly, consumer names are being paced by names that posted strong financial results, even as the inability to provide guidance was a common thread.
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.63% |
|
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
+3.05% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
+3.42% |
|
|
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
-2.18% |
|
|
Energy (XLE) |
+3.69% |
|
|
Financials (XLF) |
+0.57% |
|
|
Health Care (XLV) |
-2.32% |
|
|
Industrials (XLI) |
-0.63% |
|
|
Materials (XLB) |
+2.77% |
|
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
-1.91% |
|
|
Technology (XLK) |
+1.19% |
|
|
Utilities (XLU) |
-4.82% |
I want to begin getting aggressive above S&P 2,554; but even then, I would only scale into potential long-term positions. Purists would suggest a re-test, and holding 2,285, would be a more appropriate buy signal.
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| Tweet |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| More commentary archives | |
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