Market Commentary
I’m not very worried about the 20,000 increase in the headline number, especially after January was revised even higher to 311,000. That said, the worst part of the report was 45,000 leaving the labor force.

Highlights:
The U6 unemployment number is by far a better gauge than the U3 used in the press. The “true” unemployment report shows an economy on the move, which is lowering part time work as the only choice.
Housing was also part of the economic news today. January housing numbers were up significantly in what has been a rather lethargic new construction sector. Housing starts were up 18.6% in January from December and permits increased 1.45%. However, permits in single family were down 2.1%. Year to date, starts are still down 7.8% and permits are lower by 1.5%.
The market has made a couple rally attempts, which have failed, although we are off the lows. The Dow transports are down for 11 days in a row, which hasn’t happened in close to 40 years. Energy is the laggard today, and the only sector hanging in positive territory, barely, are Utilities.
|
S&P 500 Index |
-0.70% |
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
-0.61% |
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
-1.19% |
|
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
-0.04% |
|
Energy (XLE) |
-2.21% |
|
Financials (XLF) |
-0.46% |
|
Health Care (XLV) |
-0.77% |
|
Industrials (XLI) |
-0.82% |
|
Materials (XLB) |
-0.46% |
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
-0.20% |
|
Technology (XLK) |
-0.66% |
|
Utilities (XLU) |
+0.02% |
| Tweet |
| 4/8/2026 12:38 PM | Coiled Spring Market |
| 4/8/2026 9:39 AM | MORE NAMES PARTICIPATING |
| 4/7/2026 1:29 PM | Awaiting The Deadline |
| 4/7/2026 9:41 AM | MORE NAMES PARTICIPATING |
| 4/6/2026 1:38 PM | Muted Signals |
| 4/6/2026 9:36 AM | RESILIENCE AND HOPE |
| 4/2/2026 1:27 PM | Calming Tensions |
| 4/2/2026 9:35 AM | LIFTOFF |
| 4/1/2026 1:45 PM | April Fools: Jokes on the Bears |
| 4/1/2026 9:33 AM | OILING THE SPRINGS |
| 3/31/2026 1:25 PM | Markets Rally on Easing Geopolitical Concerns |
| 3/31/2026 9:34 AM | SHOOTING GALLERY |
| 3/30/2026 1:36 PM | Mixed Monday |
| 3/30/2026 9:37 AM | THE NEXT PHASE |
| 3/27/2026 1:26 PM | Waiting for The Dust to Settle |
| 3/27/2026 9:59 AM | STRESSED & FATIGUED |
| 3/26/2026 1:54 PM | Thursday Dip |
| 3/26/2026 9:42 AM | LOOKING FOR LEADERSHIP |
| 3/25/2026 1:42 PM | Facing Resistance |
| 3/25/2026 9:28 AM | Good Retry |
| 3/24/2026 1:27 PM | Participation Broadens |
| 3/24/2026 9:38 AM | GOOD TRY |
| 3/23/2026 1:20 PM | Market Over Sold |
| 3/23/2026 9:53 AM | OVERSOLD SIGNALS ABOUND |
| 3/20/2026 1:20 PM | From the Strait to the Street |
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