Morning Commentary
There is nothing like a failed rally attempt to unnerve investors. Yesterday began with much potential, but the rally faded. Buyers emerged, and it looked like it could be one of those sessions that sparked interest. Instead, limping into the close only added to reticence.
Low volume was the only place investors found comfort.
It’s Clobbering Time
President Trump reassured everyone that tariffs on Canada and Mexico were still “rapidly” approaching during his afternoon presser around 3:30 with French President Macron. Markets sold off into the close.
Defensive Moves
Classic defensive sectors, Consumer Staples (XLP), and Health Care (XLV) rallied, but Utilities (XLU) sold off as they traded closely with Technology (XLK) as Artificial Intelligence (AI) plays. There was serious bottom fishing in broken names, with Walgreens (WBA) leading.
Bad News is Bad News
Earnings Revisions are Taking a Toll
Estimates for the current quarter have declined tremendously.
Buffet Red Flag?
Warren Buffett went out of his way to say he still loves stocks, but taking positions takes time. I do not believe his pile of cash is a negative, especially since he’s banking billions in interest payments.
Lots of economic data is out this week beginning today – buckle up.
Today’s Session
Futures are a bit bumpy in pre-market trading.
DeepSeek-R2 originally planned to be released in May, it is now aiming for an early launch. This comes as the new version of Grok was released earlier this month, showing wide improvements.
Shares of Home Depot (HD) are slightly higher in pre-market trading, even after guidance missed consensus, and management warned the housing market may not improve. Home Depot (HD) has long been a class in retail excellence, but it is starting to lose some of its shine.
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5/8/2025 1:49 PM | First Trade Deal |
5/8/2025 9:37 AM | POWELL SEES NOTHING |
5/7/2025 12:53 PM | Powell Under Pressure |
5/7/2025 9:48 AM | THE LUXURY OF BEING GREEDY |
5/6/2025 1:20 PM | Anxiety Continues |
5/6/2025 9:45 AM | ANXIETY RETURNS |
5/5/2025 1:18 PM | Market Consolidating |
5/5/2025 9:41 AM | MID-CAP MUSCLE |
5/2/2025 1:19 PM | Labor Market Resilience |
5/2/2025 9:57 AM | BACK TO THE STARTING LINE |
5/1/2025 1:31 PM | Big Tech Resilience |
5/1/2025 9:52 AM | MAMA SAID |
4/30/2025 1:35 PM | Midday Recovery |
4/30/2025 9:52 AM | BIG HITTERS ON DECK |
4/29/2025 1:49 PM | Fluctuating |
4/29/2025 9:48 AM | BUY SIGNALS & RECESSION TALK |
4/28/2025 1:22 PM | Earnings Angst |
4/28/2025 10:03 AM | BIG TEST |
4/25/2025 1:16 PM | Quiet Friday |
4/25/2025 9:57 AM | HYSTERIA TO HOPE |
4/24/2025 1:12 PM | Solid Session |
4/24/2025 9:35 AM | VIOLENT SWINGS AND THE RECOVERY |
4/23/2025 1:45 PM | Fears Ease |
4/23/2025 9:38 AM | FUNDAMENTALS & HOPE |
4/22/2025 12:42 PM | Tuesday Reputation |
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