Morning Commentary
OpenAI GPT-6 Astra was the biggest news of the week and played a major role in Friday’s session for top-to-bottom performers. Software (IGV) wobbled again, including Snowflake Inc. (SNOW), which soared on earnings.


More Upside
The big moves in Technology (XLK) names on Friday could be the start of major upside, as they’ve been down a lot over the past three months.
Memory and semiconductors are still oversold, especially given recent earnings and guidance news.
The broad market could meander with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report looming large, as a make-or-break for a Fed rate hike this month.

Small-Caps
Breadth was ugly for the S&P 500 (SPX), but 63% of the S&P 600 (SML) advanced.

The uptrend in the S&P 600 remains intact.

Today’s Session
The trading session after Labor Day is usually lower, although I’m not sure why. Without a doubt, everyone is back, although many must drop the kids off for the first day of school – there should be pockets of intriguing action.
The session starts off with dark clouds from the latest Middle East development. Crude is higher on reports of attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure. These headlines obscure great progress in moving more ships through the Strait.

Frustration
There has never been a less correlated market, which means stocks are often down when they should be higher. Moreover, only a handful of sectors move higher, and others move lower, often interchangeable throughout the week.
This morning the S&P 500 will open lower while the NASDAQ Composite wants to surge.

Meanwhile, the AI trade is oversold and underappreciated. I think that is changing with Astra and soon-to-IPO Anthropic and OpenAI, which will underscore the value proposition for investors.

| Tweet |
| 10/8/2026 1:16 PM | A Thursday Dip |
| 10/8/2026 9:51 AM | INTERNAL INFERNO |
| 10/7/2026 1:17 PM | High Yield Fears Return |
| 10/7/2026 9:35 AM | NEW HIGHS BEGET NEW HIGHS |
| 10/6/2026 1:24 PM | Reaching New Highs |
| 10/6/2026 9:33 AM | AIN’T AFRAID OF SKYROCKETING YIELDS |
| 10/5/2026 1:29 PM | Broad Participation |
| 10/5/2026 9:35 AM | LOOKING FOR BREAKOUTS |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
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