Morning Commentary
Is there a better combination than “greed” and holiday cheer? Many would say the word “greed” should be replaced by enthusiasm and unbridled optimism; indeed, there’s nothing wrong with that. Right?
Wall Street gets frustrated when the masses get too excited about the market—something about losing their grip on the masses and having fewer assets under management.
Momentum Train
The S&P 500 rallied 5.73% last week, and on Friday, all factors joined in the fun.
Add to this momentum the fact December is usually one of the best months of the year.
The S&P 500 has made 53 record closes this year and could be on pace for more than 70. The chart looks great.
There was a lot of bottom fishing last week, and that potentially bodes well for Technology (XLK), which has struggled, but is now looking more attractive.
Technology could begin a stealth rally.
Today’s Session
Black Friday sales are getting some headlines, but I don’t find them spectacular. That said, online is positioned better than brick-and-mortar this year, as consumers are getting squeezed despite some relief at the pump
The news at Intel (INTC) is an intriguing lesson in why we don’t need to break up companies. Taxpayers should ask why the company is getting billions of dollars while simultaneously laying off Americans.
The market may need to shake off the cobwebs and if we finish lower it wouldn’t be unusual (see table from Stock Traders Almanac).
For the most part, we are staying aggressive while looking for new ideas.
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10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
10/8/2025 9:45 AM | DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOTTOM FISHING |
10/7/2025 1:34 PM | Taking a Breather |
10/7/2025 9:55 AM | LOTS OF CHASING BUT SOME BOTTOM FISHING TOO |
10/6/2025 1:36 PM | AMD deal powers Semiconductors |
10/6/2025 9:42 AM | ROTATION HAS BEGUN |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
9/26/2025 1:31 PM | Modest Gains |
9/26/2025 9:39 AM | GOOD NEWS HITS HARD |
9/25/2025 1:42 PM | Consolidation Phase |
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