Market Commentary
The market was poised to stumble this morning but over the weekend the doomsday crowd got excited. Interestingly, one of the biggest doubters throughout this rally keeps coming around.
Mike Wilson, who had dug in against this rally, now suggests the S&P 500 could rally to 6,500 over the next twelve months.

Speaking of which, we saw animals’ spirits in the Housing Market. The index climbed to its higher level in seven months.

November HMI came in +3 against consensus of -1 and all components climbed. This is the kind of animal spirits I’m seeing everywhere.
|
Builder Confidence |
||
|
Single Family Sales (Present) |
49 |
+2 |
|
Single Family Sales (Next Six Months) |
64 |
+7 |
|
Traffic of Prospective Buyers |
32 |
+3 |
|
Housing Market Index |
46 |
+3 |
| Comments |
| there seem to be lots of "the crash is coming" forecasters in my tests and emails.. are they Chicken Littles, seeing the truth or just trying to sell another "program"? Phil Atwood on 11/18/2024 1:38:48 PM |
| Don’t let the talking head suggest retail is too giddy when it's Wall Street playing catch up. Lots of firms are releasing the 2025 outlook, and none are saying to sell. Karina Hernandez on 11/22/2024 5:05:32 PM |
| Tweet |
| 1/2/2026 1:06 PM | Mixed Session |
| 1/2/2026 9:41 AM | DAY ONE - 2026 |
| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
| 12/30/2025 9:38 AM | FED MINUTES TODAY |
| 12/29/2025 2:11 PM | Holiday Continues |
| 12/29/2025 9:44 AM | LARGE STAYS IN CHARGE HEADING INTO 2026 |
| 12/26/2025 12:47 PM | Slow Session |
| 12/26/2025 9:30 AM | The Market’s Gift: New Heights |
| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
| 12/23/2025 9:26 AM | STRONG START TO A SHORTENED TRADING WEEK |
| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
| 12/16/2025 1:44 PM | Drifting Lower |
| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
| 12/15/2025 1:27 PM | Choppy Action |
| 12/15/2025 9:38 AM | LOOKING FOR A NUDGE |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
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