Morning Commentary
The ride was bumpy from the opening bell yesterday; only two sectors finished the session in the plus column.

Drug makers and oil drillers won the day.

New Home Sales

New home sales were down from the prior month and up 5.9% from the year-ago period.

Although median prices were down7.6%, homebuilders are expected to remain in “the catbird seat” for at least another year or longer.

Market Breadth
There was mixed market breadth, but certainly, moves on the NASDAQ Composite certainly indicate investors are becoming more selective.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,173 |
1,756 |
|
Decliners |
1,632 |
2,463 |
|
New Highs |
176 |
111 |
|
New Lows |
25 |
109 |
|
Up Volume |
1.68 billion |
2.60 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.55 billion |
1.98 billion |
Food Too Damn High
Everyone is playing the Fed guessing game, but it doesn’t include food and fuel for official policy decisions. However, high inflation, including food, is taking a toll on consumers.

Middle-income households are struggling far more than high-income households paying for basic necessities.

Tapped Out
Excess savings are gone. The official savings rate is below 4% and consumers are going to have to cut back.

Economic Calendar
A lot of data is coming out, and the onslaught begins today. I’m very excited about the regional Fed data, which serves as many boots on the ground.
We are watching prices and employment.

Today’s Session
There is still a hurry up and wait feeling to this market. It could change with the Consumer Confidence number; although, I think the pendulum has swung back to bad news being good news.
It is a good sign the broadening out of the rally is holding up as close to 80% of the S&P 500 is changing hands at a 200-day moving average.

Prayers to those missing from the Francis Key Scot bridge collapse in Baltimore.
| Tweet |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
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