Morning Commentary

It was another lackluster session, with more than 60% of components finishing lower yesterday. Overall, market breadth improved, but new lows continue to dwarf new highs (a good gauge of the market's pulse).
Dark Clouds Gathering
Consumer confidence came in at 81.9 against a consensus of 89.0. It's the lowest reading since 2014.
Confidence among the three oldest generations—Gen X, Baby Boomers, and the Silent Generation—continued to weaken. Confidence fell in September across all political affiliations—Democrats, Republicans, and Independents.

Consumers are crying, "Uncle," and I can only hope that members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have the same wisdom as New York Fed President John Williams.

“Super” Super Intelligence Gathering
President Trump brought together the biggest players in technology for an AI summit. Judging from all the comments and jovial atmosphere afterward, I think the event was a hit. The White House is holding the line on AI hysteria. Trump promises people will love data centers and vows America will maintain its global lead. Key topics and milestones:
• The "SI" Rebrand
• Self-Regulation and a "Morally Binding" Agreement
• Proposed Oversight Committee
• Upcoming AI Czar
• Data Center Infrastructure

Key players signed an accord focused on individual company responsibility.

During the session, we learned that OpenAI's new annual recurring revenue (ARR) has rocketed to $70 billion.

Micron at the Plate
Micron Technology (MU) reports after the close. While everyone expects a historic quarter - one of the most profitable in corporate history - the big question is: how much longer can the party last?
The stock has rallied three times out of the last four earnings releases.
Memory margins can't get any higher; the question is whether they will move meaningfully lower. I don’t think so.

| Tweet |
| 9/30/2026 7:14 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
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