Morning Commentary

Yesterday, only 23% of the components in the S&P 500 (SPX) finished in the plus column. Technology (XLK) was higher, with both software (IGV) and semiconductors enjoying gains, and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) eked out a gain as well. Large-cap momentum was the only factor that closed higher.

Equal Pain
Equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) is on the cusp of a seventh consecutive losing week. This has only happened twice in more than three decades (the bear markets of 2002 and 2022).

Coming into the week, I was most interested in two things. One was buyers moving beyond tech. Equal Weight against the S&P 500 is extremely oversold – the last two times it got to this point, there was a sharp rebound.

Micron Delivers
Micron Technology (MU) crushed it! This was the week's most important development:

The company’s Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) have locked in more than $30.0 billion through 2030, which is 35% of revenue.

For those expecting this memory demand to be short-lived, humanoid robots will soon trigger “significant demand.”

| Tweet |
| 10/1/2026 7:06 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
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