Morning Commentary
What a monster session ahead of a three-day weekend that serves as a reminder that freedom isn’t free.
Investors correctly assumed a debt ceiling deal would be reached between Speaker McCarty and President Biden. Now, it must make its way through Congress.
The question is whether it will be anti-climactic or open the door to a more meaningful move.
Meanwhile, Technology (XLK) is edging out Communication Services (XLC) as the hottest sector of the year, but the great news is based on the last two years; both have a ton more room on the upside.
Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI)
This Generative AI story is still in the early innings, but every company had better learn how to use it.
But, be warned, it’s not perfected yet.
Fundamentals
So far 97% of S&P 500 names have posted their financial results for the first quarter, and they have been much better than expected, especially on the revenue side, where I was most worried.
It will be telling to see how the market reacts to a possible rate hike at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting now that the debt drama is over. Unfortunately, the market ignored the shift last Friday.
This is going to be an amazing week. I think it could set the pace for the summer, if not the rest of the year.
Portfolio Approach
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Today’s Session
The US economy continues to be stronger than expected, and while it is borrowed money, it goes on the income statement.
The excess cash is down to $400 billion according to the San Francisco Fed. But theoretically, US consumers have another $3.5 trillion in unused credit card debt.
But we aren’t that crazy, right?
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10/11/2024 1:55 PM | New Highs |
10/11/2024 9:53 AM | DOESN’T FEEL LIKE A RAGING BULL |
10/10/2024 1:41 PM | Anti-Climactic Day |
10/10/2024 9:31 AM | MELT UP WITHOUT HEAT |
10/9/2024 1:18 PM | An Apprehensive Market |
10/9/2024 9:57 AM | EMBRACE THE BEAUTIFUL |
10/8/2024 1:07 PM | NVDIA Saves the Day |
10/8/2024 9:51 AM | THE RAFT IN THE STORM |
10/7/2024 1:18 PM | Uncertainty |
10/7/2024 9:48 AM | NOT REAL? WHO CARES? |
10/4/2024 1:14 PM | Jobs Data Pushing Stocks Higher |
10/4/2024 9:58 AM | JOBS DAY (AGAIN) |
10/3/2024 12:47 PM | Oil Surges |
10/3/2024 9:38 AM | WAITING |
10/2/2024 1:23 PM | Holding the Pattern |
10/2/2024 9:34 AM | REIGN OF TERROR |
10/1/2024 1:08 PM | Geopolitics Takes Center Stage |
10/1/2024 9:39 AM | STRONG, STEADY & DETERMINED |
9/30/2024 1:33 PM | Marginal Monday |
9/30/2024 9:33 AM | LOOKING FOR A POWELL BOOSTER |
9/27/2024 12:53 PM | Technology Lags |
9/27/2024 9:57 AM | Materials Momentum |
9/26/2024 1:11 PM | Strong and Steady |
9/26/2024 9:44 AM | AI IS A-OK |
9/25/2024 12:55 PM | Losing Steam |
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