Morning Commentary
What a monster session ahead of a three-day weekend that serves as a reminder that freedom isn’t free.
Investors correctly assumed a debt ceiling deal would be reached between Speaker McCarty and President Biden. Now, it must make its way through Congress.
The question is whether it will be anti-climactic or open the door to a more meaningful move.
Meanwhile, Technology (XLK) is edging out Communication Services (XLC) as the hottest sector of the year, but the great news is based on the last two years; both have a ton more room on the upside.
Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI)
This Generative AI story is still in the early innings, but every company had better learn how to use it.
But, be warned, it’s not perfected yet.
Fundamentals
So far 97% of S&P 500 names have posted their financial results for the first quarter, and they have been much better than expected, especially on the revenue side, where I was most worried.
It will be telling to see how the market reacts to a possible rate hike at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting now that the debt drama is over. Unfortunately, the market ignored the shift last Friday.
This is going to be an amazing week. I think it could set the pace for the summer, if not the rest of the year.
Portfolio Approach
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Today’s Session
The US economy continues to be stronger than expected, and while it is borrowed money, it goes on the income statement.
The excess cash is down to $400 billion according to the San Francisco Fed. But theoretically, US consumers have another $3.5 trillion in unused credit card debt.
But we aren’t that crazy, right?
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9/28/2023 1:34 PM | Changing the Course |
9/28/2023 9:40 AM | A PAUSE IN THE PULLBACK |
9/27/2023 1:45 PM | Tense Session |
9/27/2023 9:39 AM | KEY TEST OF SUPPORT AHEAD |
9/26/2023 1:21 PM | Typical Tantrum |
9/26/2023 9:50 AM | A LITTLE SPUNK |
9/25/2023 1:59 PM | Yields On the Spotlight Again |
9/25/2023 9:42 AM | GREEN LEAVES |
9/22/2023 1:42 PM | Challenging Week |
9/22/2023 9:44 AM | NOT THE END OF THE WORLD |
9/21/2023 1:33 PM | First Casualties |
9/21/2023 9:46 AM | WAS IT SOMETHING HE SAID? |
9/20/2023 1:32 PM | Ready to Pounce |
9/20/2023 9:54 AM | LOOKING FORWARD TO THE DOT PLOT |
9/19/2023 1:23 PM | Red Letter Day |
9/19/2023 9:40 AM | AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM |
9/18/2023 1:32 PM | Tepid Volume |
9/18/2023 9:44 AM | Lots of Angst |
9/15/2023 1:33 PM | Lackluster Session |
9/15/2023 9:44 AM | KEEPING POWELL OUT OF THE GAME |
9/14/2023 1:32 PM | Arm IPO Pops in its debut |
9/14/2023 10:08 AM | CONSUMER CHECKUP |
9/13/2023 1:33 PM | Mixed Bag |
9/13/2023 9:35 AM | MOUNTING TENSION |
9/12/2023 1:49 PM | Big Move in Oil |
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