Afternoon Note
Yields are breaking out with the 10-year note rising above 4%, which is weighing down Technology. Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve speakers and stronger-than-expected economic data have increased expectations for higher rates. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 50-basis-point hike is now 33.6%, up 27% from a week ago.
Weak leadership from mega-cap Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) are adding pressure to Consumer Discretionary, making it the worst performer this afternoon.
Very intriguing breadth this afternoon, Up/Down volume on Nasdaq is positive by quite a bit.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,191 |
1,708 |
Decliners |
1,828 |
2,631 |
New Highs |
56 |
72 |
New Lows |
46 |
146 |
Up Volume |
957.32 million |
1.76 billion |
Down Volume |
1.23 billion |
1.51 billion |
More earnings after the bell, with Costco (COST) reporting. Investors will be eyeing near-term guidance, especially after cautious guidance from Walmart (WMT) last week.
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9/19/2025 9:39 AM | Another Lesson in Panic |
9/18/2025 1:23 PM | Rate Cut Rally |
9/18/2025 9:48 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
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