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Morning Commentary

RALLY RESOLVE

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
2/5/2020 9:30 AM

There was some selling into the close on Tuesday. The market enjoyed a boffo session, signaling the notion investors could begin to focus on other issues beyond the coronavirus. Of course, the coronavirus remains a threat until the spread of the virus slows and more patients go home. Nonetheless, the market can see a day when the economy and earnings are of paramount importance.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is back above its 50-day moving average after slipping 3.7%, which is hardly a textbook retracement or pullback, but it could be for the moment.

The pent-up buying created an overwhelmingly strong market breadth:

NYSE

NASDAQ

The earnings picture continues to improve as well.

249 companies reported:

Revenue

Earnings

Earnings After Close

Disney (DIS) posted another impressive number, although the stock was unchanged after the release:

There were 26.5 million Disney + subscribers against the consensus of 20.8 million.

Ford Motor (F) blew it again, as restructuring costs and the loss of market shares continue to bedevil the company. The company lost $200 million in China in the quarter, bringing the total of losses in 2019 to $771 million, down from $1.5 billion in 2018 - but still huge, as shares declined to 2.0% from 2.3%.

Chipotle (CMG) crushed it, beating on top and bottom, as comp-store sales came in at 13.4% against an estimate of 9.8%.

S&P 500 Index

+1.50%

 

Communication Services (XLC)

+1.04%

 

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

+1.82%

 

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.60%

 

Energy (XLE)

+0.36%

 

Financials (XLF)

+0.96%

 

Health Care (XLV)

+1.76%

 

Industrials (XLI)

+1.89%

 

Materials (XLB)

+1.77%

 

Real Estate (XLRE)

+1.30%

 

Technology (XLK)

+2.62%

 

Utilities (XLU)

 

-1.00%

The Message of the Market

Yesterday, it was all about Technology (XLK), especially the Apple (AAPL) orbit and computer chip names. The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is coming on again, resuming the rally that began four years ago. You must have exposure to semiconductors. 

Portfolio Approach                   

We’ve taken a lot of action in the model portfolio, so make sure you’re updated on alerts or check with your rep.

Today’s Session

Breaking News: Jobs Booming

Wall Street was looking for ADP employment data to come in at 160,000 and instead January saw 291,000 jobs created.  Absolutely Amazing. #winning

ADP jobs report

https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2020/January/NER/images/charts/Change-in-Nonfarm-Private-Employment-January-2020.gif

Goods Producing

Service Producing


Comments
Anybody have thoughts on Exxon Mobil's downgrade yesterday?

Robert on 2/5/2020 10:17:44 AM
Charles, I am in my early 70's and there are two people in this world that have I have the utmost respect for and pay attention too, the President of the United States and you, Thank You for your knowledge and leadership.

Patrick on 2/6/2020 12:45:54 PM
Thank you so much Patrik, I'm humbled and really appreciate your very kind words.  CP

Charles Payne on 2/6/2020 12:49:14 PM
 

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