Afternoon Note
This has been a classic v-shaped rally and one of the fastest 10% moves in the history of the market all in the face of non-stop negativity from Wall Street punditry and the financial media. Today the story has been the economic catastrophe of the government shutdown. I’m sure that’s not true and while it’s sad to see any American denied or delayed their paycheck, the US economy is going to be just fine.
That being said, the element of disorder beyond garden-variety government dysfunction is a worry. The debt ceiling that must be temporarily raised by March (because that’s what we do in the United States with all temporary spending programs). And the delay in information and other ancillary issues will chip away at GDP growth, but it’s not an economic disaster.
It’s a political disaster.
It’s an American disaster.
Meanwhile, the market is looking beyond an oversold scenario as a catalyst for other events that will move the market. Earnings begin next week and I’m eager to get new guidance levels.
The stock of the day is General Motors (GM). Shares of the automaker are surging on its Capital Day presentation and commentary.
With these headlines:
Full-year 2019 guidance:
I’m not sure if we get that last hour rally today but I’m very excited about the market and this snapback rally.
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7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
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