Afternoon Note
This has been a classic v-shaped rally and one of the fastest 10% moves in the history of the market all in the face of non-stop negativity from Wall Street punditry and the financial media. Today the story has been the economic catastrophe of the government shutdown. I’m sure that’s not true and while it’s sad to see any American denied or delayed their paycheck, the US economy is going to be just fine.
That being said, the element of disorder beyond garden-variety government dysfunction is a worry. The debt ceiling that must be temporarily raised by March (because that’s what we do in the United States with all temporary spending programs). And the delay in information and other ancillary issues will chip away at GDP growth, but it’s not an economic disaster.
It’s a political disaster.
It’s an American disaster.
Meanwhile, the market is looking beyond an oversold scenario as a catalyst for other events that will move the market. Earnings begin next week and I’m eager to get new guidance levels.
The stock of the day is General Motors (GM). Shares of the automaker are surging on its Capital Day presentation and commentary.
With these headlines:
Full-year 2019 guidance:
I’m not sure if we get that last hour rally today but I’m very excited about the market and this snapback rally.
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| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
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