Afternoon Note
This has been a classic v-shaped rally and one of the fastest 10% moves in the history of the market all in the face of non-stop negativity from Wall Street punditry and the financial media. Today the story has been the economic catastrophe of the government shutdown. I’m sure that’s not true and while it’s sad to see any American denied or delayed their paycheck, the US economy is going to be just fine.
That being said, the element of disorder beyond garden-variety government dysfunction is a worry. The debt ceiling that must be temporarily raised by March (because that’s what we do in the United States with all temporary spending programs). And the delay in information and other ancillary issues will chip away at GDP growth, but it’s not an economic disaster.
It’s a political disaster.
It’s an American disaster.
Meanwhile, the market is looking beyond an oversold scenario as a catalyst for other events that will move the market. Earnings begin next week and I’m eager to get new guidance levels.
The stock of the day is General Motors (GM). Shares of the automaker are surging on its Capital Day presentation and commentary.
With these headlines:
Full-year 2019 guidance:
I’m not sure if we get that last hour rally today but I’m very excited about the market and this snapback rally.
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9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
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