Morning Commentary
The market continues to be unshakable by factors that have totally derailed it in the past.
Bond yields are soaring.
Crude oil is soaring.

And the Federal Reserve has become a political mess that could soon lose whatever credibility it has left.
When the market gets into this kind of zone, the “experts” (mostly curmudgeons and dyed-in-the-wool bears) say it's unhinged and irrational, but I think the stock market is more rational now than any time I’ve ever seen it.
We’ve seen a swift retreat in oil since the Iran conflict, on good news. Once this conflict is over, I see oil and yields coming down.
The American Formula
What these folks refuse to grasp is the AI Revolution and the United States' fundamental strength.
We are a wealthy nation with the mechanism to remain wealthy as it fosters innovation, talent, and rewards success.
Wall Street analysts railed against capex spending, but hyperscalers are spending even more because the stakes are beyond the limited imagination of the street and their old-school ways of determining value (too short-sighted).

Hyperscalers are spending, and the American consumer is spending,


The reaction the Mag Seven reports is better than I thought it would be, but this market is still looking for the next spark.
| Comments |
| One important reason that spending is up is the Price of Goods, Services, and Sales and Property Taxes. Not including Fraud and Corruption. P. Krueger on 4/30/2026 11:15:23 AM |
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| 7/30/2026 7:09 AM | THE WASHOUT GETS UGLY |
| 7/29/2026 1:13 PM | Warsh Fed on Deck |
| 7/29/2026 9:31 AM | A GOOD WASHOUT |
| 7/28/2026 9:33 AM | MARKET LOOKING TO REBOUND |
| 7/27/2026 1:23 PM | Mixed Monday Market |
| 7/27/2026 9:44 AM | Market Looking to Rebound |
| 7/24/2026 1:18 PM | Jensen Sets the Tone |
| 7/24/2026 9:44 AM | MAG SEVEN CAN'T WIN WITH INVESTORS (FOR NOW) |
| 7/23/2026 1:22 PM | Thursday's Tangled Tape |
| 7/23/2026 9:39 AM | THE SPENDING CONTINUES AMID SIGNS OF PAYOFFS |
| 7/22/2026 12:59 PM | Alphabet On Deck |
| 7/22/2026 9:31 AM | MARKETS BOUNCE AHEAD OF BIG EARNINGS RELEASES |
| 7/21/2026 1:19 PM | Solid Rebound |
| 7/21/2026 9:29 AM | MALAISE SPREADS |
| 7/20/2026 1:27 PM | Earnings Season Heating Up |
| 7/20/2026 9:01 AM | Another Bite at the Apple |
| 7/17/2026 1:18 PM | Beyond The Narrative |
| 7/17/2026 9:18 AM | MORE CHIP CARNAGE |
| 7/16/2026 1:25 PM | Looking Under The Hood |
| 7/16/2026 7:07 AM | MOMENTUM IN THE WRONG DIRECTION |
| 7/15/2026 1:25 PM | Hyperscalers Watch |
| 7/15/2026 9:36 AM | RATE HIKE FEARS FADE |
| 7/14/2026 12:48 PM | Inflation Cools While the Market Heats Up |
| 7/14/2026 9:41 AM | WAR, INFLATION, & RISING ANXIETY |
| 7/13/2026 1:26 PM | Weakness Pressures Stocks |
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