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Morning Commentary

RISING TIDE

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
1/16/2026 7:11 AM

Yesterday was another solid session for the market. This year, it seems like cyclical, or defensive sectors are on top in each session, even when the major individual gainers are in growth sectors.

It was mid-caps that led the most success across the board.

Breadth & Heat Map

The same tide continues to lift all ships, especially in small-and mid-cap names.

Advancers

NVIDIA (NVDA) stands out most on the Heat Map, but a weakness in software should also be noted. Industrials (XLI) look like a field on the first day of spring – lots of green shoots.

S&P 500 Map

Too Ebullient?

Wall Street mavens hate it when retail is too bullish. Too bad. I love it.

Image

The Greed & Fear Index hints at a lot more room on the upside.

Continued improvement in economic data, as the Philly Fed saw a good print in the current situation.

New orders stand out most, but employment data is moving in the wrong direction.


 

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