Afternoon Note
Fed Day is here with major indices mixed this afternoon. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are in the red, while the Russell 2000 and Dow Jones are moving higher.

Powell Fed Days have been on average the worst of any Fed Chair. Historically by the end of trading, the S&P has only averaged a 6 basis points (bps) gain during Powell’s, followed by a 16 basis points gain from Yellen and 26 basis points gain from Bernanke.

The market awaits a rate cut. Historically, when the Fed cuts rates near highs, the market tends to move higher. The 1-year return is in the green 100% of the time.

Mega caps are seeing some profit taking this afternoon. Nvidia (NVDA) is the worst performer, out of the magnificent seven, after China’s internet regulator told tech firms in their country to stop buying Nvidia’s chips and terminate current orders.

As a result, Technology (XLK) is the worst performing sector today. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) is also underperforming due to losses in its mega-cap components.

Advancers outpace decliners on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, denoting a healthier breadth despite mega-cap weakness.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,827 |
2,588 |
|
Decliners |
901 |
1,867 |
|
New Highs |
119 |
217 |
|
New Lows |
11 |
40 |
|
Up Volume |
1.63 billion |
3.11 billion |
|
Down Volume |
819.6 million |
1.67 billion |
| Tweet |
| 2/11/2026 9:43 AM | SHORTS SMELL BLOOD |
| 2/10/2026 1:46 PM | Modest Gains |
| 2/10/2026 9:35 AM | SCRIPT STILL FLIPPED |
| 2/9/2026 1:23 PM | A Solid Start to The Week |
| 2/9/2026 9:41 AM | TRANSPORTATION TELLS THE STORY |
| 2/6/2026 1:36 PM | Much Needed Rebound |
| 2/6/2026 9:41 AM | NOBODY GETS THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT |
| 2/5/2026 1:29 PM | Thursday Pullback |
| 2/5/2026 9:42 AM | TAKING BACK THE NARRATIVE |
| 2/4/2026 1:21 PM | Wednesday Wobble |
| 2/4/2026 9:29 AM | PAC-MAN ON THE PROWL |
| 2/3/2026 12:33 PM | Software Carnage |
| 2/3/2026 9:31 AM | THE WELL-WORN PATH TO PROSPERITY |
| 2/2/2026 1:15 PM | Nice Start To The Week |
| 2/2/2026 9:39 AM | POWELL SKATES PAST REPORTERS |
| 1/30/2026 1:07 PM | Market Digests Fed’s Pick |
| 1/30/2026 9:20 AM | Memory Momentum |
| 1/29/2026 12:32 PM | Software Slides |
| 1/29/2026 9:35 AM | POWELL SKATES PAST REPORTERS |
| 1/28/2026 1:24 PM | Big Tech On Deck |
| 1/28/2026 10:11 AM | CALLING IN THE (NEW) BIG GUNS |
| 1/27/2026 1:28 PM | Split Session |
| 1/27/2026 9:39 AM | IT'S A CARTOON WORLD |
| 1/26/2026 12:47 PM | Money Stays in The Market |
| 1/26/2026 9:35 AM | BIG NAMES IN EARNINGS BATTER’S BOX |
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