Afternoon Note
Fed Day is here with major indices mixed this afternoon. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are in the red, while the Russell 2000 and Dow Jones are moving higher.
Powell Fed Days have been on average the worst of any Fed Chair. Historically by the end of trading, the S&P has only averaged a 6 basis points (bps) gain during Powell’s, followed by a 16 basis points gain from Yellen and 26 basis points gain from Bernanke.
The market awaits a rate cut. Historically, when the Fed cuts rates near highs, the market tends to move higher. The 1-year return is in the green 100% of the time.
Mega caps are seeing some profit taking this afternoon. Nvidia (NVDA) is the worst performer, out of the magnificent seven, after China’s internet regulator told tech firms in their country to stop buying Nvidia’s chips and terminate current orders.
As a result, Technology (XLK) is the worst performing sector today. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) is also underperforming due to losses in its mega-cap components.
Advancers outpace decliners on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, denoting a healthier breadth despite mega-cap weakness.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,827 |
2,588 |
Decliners |
901 |
1,867 |
New Highs |
119 |
217 |
New Lows |
11 |
40 |
Up Volume |
1.63 billion |
3.11 billion |
Down Volume |
819.6 million |
1.67 billion |
Tweet |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
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