Morning Commentary

Yesterday, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester created an air pocket in the middle of the session by answering questions about current and future Fed policy on Bloomberg Television. The line that tells the story most is: “We can hold rates, or even raise them, if inflation, against expectations, stalls out or reverses.” But the market is in ‘Greed’ mode, so the dip was short-lived.

It's all about the chips.
Tech (XLK) is back in the driver’s seat because the chips are on fire.

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is on the verge of smashing through a double top, this could be a powerful buy signal this week.

Breadth
It's all about old folks, young millennials on cruise ships, and everyone else waiting for Nvidia (NVDA).

Breadth was just about even across the board, but up volume dwarfed down volume on the NASDAQ Composite.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,405 |
2,079 |
|
Decliners |
1,383 |
2,126 |
|
New Highs |
239 |
224 |
|
New Lows |
29 |
101 |
|
Up Volume |
1.63 billion |
4.97 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.74 billion |
1.87 billion |
Growth!

Today’s Session
Another major firm has lifted its target on the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank is now at 5,500 from 5,100.
Interestingly, outside of BMO and Wells Fargo, these targets don’t have much conviction, considering where the market closed.
Maybe the conviction is with those major firms that, unlike Mike Wilson and Morgan Stanley, haven’t blinked.
For all the hoopla about the slam dunk coming after the bell tomorrow in the form of NVDA financial results, there is palpable trepidation in this market.
| Comments |
| Hmmm......Looking at that list of S&P targets makes me wonder what Jamie D knows that nobody else does? CharlesHaselberger on 5/21/2024 11:57:59 AM |
| Tweet |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
| 8/25/2026 9:44 AM | USA BRINGING THE HAMMER (BUT STILL SHOWING RESTRAINT) |
| 8/24/2026 1:28 PM | Bessent on Deck |
| 8/24/2026 9:32 AM | JENSEN IN THE BATTER'S BOX |
| 8/21/2026 1:06 PM | Market Moves Higher into the Weekend |
| 8/21/2026 9:41 AM | BOND RELIEF EVAPORATES |
| 8/20/2026 1:35 PM | Bessent Weighs In |
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