Morning Commentary

Yesterday, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester created an air pocket in the middle of the session by answering questions about current and future Fed policy on Bloomberg Television. The line that tells the story most is: “We can hold rates, or even raise them, if inflation, against expectations, stalls out or reverses.” But the market is in ‘Greed’ mode, so the dip was short-lived.

It's all about the chips.
Tech (XLK) is back in the driver’s seat because the chips are on fire.

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is on the verge of smashing through a double top, this could be a powerful buy signal this week.

Breadth
It's all about old folks, young millennials on cruise ships, and everyone else waiting for Nvidia (NVDA).

Breadth was just about even across the board, but up volume dwarfed down volume on the NASDAQ Composite.
|
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
|
Advancers |
1,405 |
2,079 |
|
Decliners |
1,383 |
2,126 |
|
New Highs |
239 |
224 |
|
New Lows |
29 |
101 |
|
Up Volume |
1.63 billion |
4.97 billion |
|
Down Volume |
1.74 billion |
1.87 billion |
Growth!

Today’s Session
Another major firm has lifted its target on the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank is now at 5,500 from 5,100.
Interestingly, outside of BMO and Wells Fargo, these targets don’t have much conviction, considering where the market closed.
Maybe the conviction is with those major firms that, unlike Mike Wilson and Morgan Stanley, haven’t blinked.
For all the hoopla about the slam dunk coming after the bell tomorrow in the form of NVDA financial results, there is palpable trepidation in this market.
| Comments |
| Hmmm......Looking at that list of S&P targets makes me wonder what Jamie D knows that nobody else does? CharlesHaselberger on 5/21/2024 11:57:59 AM |
| Tweet |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
| 12/11/2025 9:34 AM | THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS |
| 12/10/2025 1:30 PM | The Street Awaits Fed’s Decision |
| 12/10/2025 9:41 AM | POWELL TAKES CENTER STAGE |
| 12/9/2025 1:27 PM | Fed on Deck |
| 12/9/2025 9:31 AM | NVDA GETS THE GREEN LIGHT |
| 12/8/2025 1:35 PM | Fed Week Jitters |
| 12/8/2025 9:41 AM | HIGH BETA GOES HIGHER |
| 12/5/2025 1:31 PM | PCE Inflation Cools |
| 12/5/2025 9:41 AM | THEME STOCKS LOOK FOR SECOND 2025 ACT |
| 12/4/2025 1:35 PM | Muted Action |
| 12/4/2025 9:43 AM | UPWARD BIAS ON HOPES FOR FRIENDLY FED |
| 12/3/2025 1:29 PM | Recovering from Early Drop |
| 12/3/2025 9:43 AM | TRYPTOPHANE KICKS IN LATE |
| 12/2/2025 1:31 PM | Intraday Bounce |
| 12/2/2025 9:41 AM | THE STREAK IS LONG IN THE TOOTH |
| 12/1/2025 1:30 PM | Markets Start on a Softer Note |
| 12/1/2025 9:38 AM | V FOR VICTORY |
| 11/28/2025 9:14 AM | THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR |
| 11/26/2025 1:15 PM | Action To Be Thankful For |
| 11/26/2025 10:12 AM | COILED SPRINGS UNLEASHED |
| 11/25/2025 1:17 PM | Incredible Session |
| 11/25/2025 9:51 AM | THE BAND IS PLAYING THEIR FAVORITE TUNE |
| More commentary archives | |
|
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|