Afternoon Note
We wouldn't call it a mutiny, but two major Fed officials are sounding a lot more cautious than Powell.
So, the pendulum swings again, and instead of a potential tradable upside breakout, we want the S&P 500 to hold at the key support of 5,100.
Energy (XLE) is breaking out supported by rising oil prices. WTI continues to hold near its best level in four months, reclaiming the $80 level.
On the economic front, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing index went down to -14.4 from 11.3 in February, missing consensus of -11.5. Production and shipment fell back into contraction alongside new orders.
February new home sales unexpectedly drop to -0.3%m/m from +1.7% in January, missing the consensus of +2.1%.
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10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
10/8/2025 9:45 AM | DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOTTOM FISHING |
10/7/2025 1:34 PM | Taking a Breather |
10/7/2025 9:55 AM | LOTS OF CHASING BUT SOME BOTTOM FISHING TOO |
10/6/2025 1:36 PM | AMD deal powers Semiconductors |
10/6/2025 9:42 AM | ROTATION HAS BEGUN |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
9/26/2025 1:31 PM | Modest Gains |
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