Morning Commentary

Yesterday, one couldn't tell if ‘greed’ was the investing mood. The market struggled, and while it finished off the lows, the action was never enticing enough to get large swaths of would-be buyers off the fence.

Cash continues to flow into specific oversold names.
Estee Lauder (EL) caught my eye as a great company that has been getting beat by arch-rival L’Oreal (OR).

The S&P 500 is in in overbought territory, but this is a very short-term situation, and it won’t stop buyers if the economic data out this week bolsters the disinflation theme.

Small-Caps Picking Up Steam
The move in the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) was very impressive.

According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the outperformance of the Russell 2000 over the Russell 1000 is par for the seasonality course.

Economic Data
The calendar heats up today.

Portfolio Approach
There is no change to the sector weights in the Hotline Model Portfolio this morning.

Today’s Session
Futures are pointing to a lower open as the Street continues to adjust its expectations over the pathway for interest rates. Yields are lower and oil futures fell to its lowest level since July. The jobs report is the major catalyst this Friday, but later today, we will see the release of October’s JOLTs Job Openings report.
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| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
| 8/25/2026 9:44 AM | USA BRINGING THE HAMMER (BUT STILL SHOWING RESTRAINT) |
| 8/24/2026 1:28 PM | Bessent on Deck |
| 8/24/2026 9:32 AM | JENSEN IN THE BATTER'S BOX |
| 8/21/2026 1:06 PM | Market Moves Higher into the Weekend |
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