Afternoon Note
The market opened with a gusto, and then the bottom dropped out after news that the latest leading economic indicators point to a possible recession later this year. When the news broke, the algorithms went to work, and all the major indices were off 0.50%.
The Conference Board’s Index of Leading Indicators dropped 0.8% in June to 117. We haven’t had a similar drop since 1960.
Highlights from report:

Now, we are seeing impressive intraday strength with the S&P 500 up 1.3% in the last two hours.
Eight out of the eleven sectors are in positive territory with Consumer Discretionary leading, helped by gains from Tesla (TSLA), which is now up 10%, and back above $800, and the major indices have turned green.
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.60% |
|
|
Communication Services XLC |
-0.31% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
+1.85% |
|
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.04% |
|
|
Energy XLE |
-2.62% |
|
|
Financials XLF |
+0.20% |
|
|
Health Care XLV |
+1.22% |
|
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.40% |
|
|
Materials XLB |
+0.94% |
|
|
Real Estate XLRE |
+0.51% |
|
|
Technology XLK |
+1.15% |
|
|
Utilities XLU |
+0.15% |
|
Snap
Snap (SNAP) reports after the bell today. The report comes amid ongoing concerns about online ad spending market. The Street wants to see if the company got its act together with its shares falling more than 47% since it posted mixed first-quarter results.
We think a better than feared Q2 result could drive a relief rally in the name.
|
Quarter |
Results |
Beat/Miss |
Stock Reaction |
|
Q122 |
-$0.02 |
-$0.03 |
+0.8% |
|
Q421 |
$0.22 |
+$0.12 |
+50.1% |
|
Q321 |
$0.17 |
+$0.09 |
-26.5% |
|
Q221 |
$0.10 |
+$0.11 |
+23.6% |
|
Q121 |
$0.00 |
+$0.05 |
+7% |
| Comments |
| How likely is it that (after November) the leaders of the rush to go green are placed in their life boats; while the “mother ship” proceeds at a more reasonable pace? Fred on 7/21/2022 2:44:02 PM |
| Tweet |
| 3/13/2026 1:40 PM | Volatility Continues |
| 3/13/2026 9:33 AM | ON DOWNWARD AUTOPILOT |
| 3/12/2026 1:35 PM | Tech Resilience Fades |
| 3/12/2026 9:40 AM | HOLDING ON, BUT STRUGGLING |
| 3/11/2026 1:19 PM | Mid-Week Movements |
| 3/11/2026 9:37 AM | COMMUNICATION GAUGE CURBS MOMENTUM |
| 3/10/2026 1:38 PM | Showing Resolve |
| 3/10/2026 9:39 AM | OIL RETREATS – STOCKS SURGE |
| 3/9/2026 1:16 PM | Opening The Hormuz Oil Spigot |
| 3/9/2026 9:34 AM | GET THE SHIPS MOVING |
| 3/6/2026 1:33 PM | Friday Fuel Frenzy |
| 3/6/2026 9:55 AM | EVERYONE WANTS THIS THING TO END SOON |
| 3/5/2026 1:31 PM | Market Struggles |
| 3/5/2026 9:40 AM | IT WAS A GOOD DAY |
| 3/4/2026 1:23 PM | Mid-Week Recovery |
| 3/4/2026 9:50 AM | MARKET NOT CLOWNING AROUND AND WANTS TO REBOUND |
| 3/3/2026 1:25 PM | Tuesday's Market Gyrations |
| 3/3/2026 10:29 AM | Message from Charles Payne |
| 3/3/2026 9:43 AM | INVESTORS JUGGLING A LOT |
| 3/2/2026 1:38 PM | Monday Market Resolve |
| 3/2/2026 9:39 AM | WEEK BEGINS WITH MORE ANXIETY |
| 2/27/2026 1:26 PM | Are Financials Telling Us Something? |
| 2/27/2026 9:27 AM | LUMBERING GIANTS LOOK TIRED AND VULNERABLE |
| 2/26/2026 1:09 PM | Separating Vibe From Reality |
| 2/26/2026 9:45 AM | JENSEN'S TRYING TO STOP THE AI SCARE, BENIOFF CAN'T |
| More commentary archives | |
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