Morning Commentary
What a wonderful session last week, as it capped off the first up week (in five weeks) that investors’ fear of the Fed ‘going too far’ abated, and buyers were eager to pounce to make their move. This time, a few other fence-sitters joined along. For the week, however, market breadth was horrible and the down channels were still firmly in place.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
2,668 |
3,072 |
Decliners |
564 |
1,472 |
New Highs |
10 |
33 |
New Lows |
68 |
147 |
Up Volume |
6.81 billion |
5.84 billion |
Down Volume |
1.41 billion |
3.57 billion |
Mega-cap names soared on Friday.
Reopening Trade Takes Off
But folks looking to make a quick buck moved swiftly into reopening trades. The thing is they have been so beaten down that you might still be in a paper loss unless you bought midweek.
There was also a smattering of oversold disappointments that were higher as well, including Wells Fargo (WFC) and Salesforce (CRM). But, of course, several perennial favorites are bound to work sooner or later, right?
Today
Watch those names that are supposed to join the Russell 1000:
I think this is a brilliant move. However, it says a lot about how some of the mighty have fallen and how some of the contenders have fallen short.
For more information on these and key sectors, ask for a copy of Payne’s Perspective – contact your rep or research@wstreet.com.
Take that to the Bank
And look for a bunch of buybacks and dividend hike announcements from banks. The S&P Financial (XLF) sector has been an unmitigated disaster.
Everyone on Wall Street loved the trade on January 1st, just like they seem to love it every January 1st of any year.
There is a lot of work to do to reverse out of its down channel. But there might be some trades and even a couple of names that will sustain moves – but there is no urgency to make that determination.
XLF
Portfolio Approach
We are adding a new position in Consumer Discretionary in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
Durable goods for May came in above consensus and that “good” news took a little starch out of premarket trading.
I’m not sure it should matter that much, and I’m glad to see businesses are investing, despite abysmal sentiment readings.
The news sent bond yields slightly higher, keeping the trend of higher lows intact and holding above that now magical 3.00% support point.
Tweet |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
4/8/2024 7:19 AM | IT’S ECLIPSE DAY |
4/5/2024 1:51 PM | Higher and Cheaper |
4/5/2024 9:23 AM | MARKETS REEL ON BIDEN’S ISRAEL ULTIMATUM |
4/4/2024 1:42 PM | Stocks Bounce |
4/4/2024 9:31 AM | ESCAPING GRAVITY = ESCAPING REALITY? |
4/3/2024 1:41 PM | Cuts Not Soon |
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