Afternoon Note
Overall, I am loving this market action. NASDAQ gave up gains and began to tumble and weakness was greeted by buyers. S&P is consolidating gains above a former resistance point that has now become technical support as the index gears up for a move to retest all-time high. Only 3 sectors are in the red, and the market has a bit of a defensive tone with Utilities outperforming.
|
S&P 500 Index |
+0.33% |
|
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
-0.05% |
|
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
+0.79% |
|
|
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
+0.25% |
|
|
Energy (XLE) |
-2.12% |
|
|
Financials (XLF) |
-0.56% |
|
|
Health Care (XLV) |
+0.73% |
|
|
Industrials (XLI) |
+0.57% |
|
|
Materials (XLB) |
+0.51% |
|
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
+1.10% |
|
|
Technology (XLK) |
+0.68% |
|
|
Utilities (XLU) |
+1.44% |
All eyes are on the two big MEGA cap names. I think Tesla (TSLA) will have the greatest broad market influence, as a short squeeze could spark a move to $2,000 and infuse the momentum trading crowd into a minion like frenzy.
|
Stock Earnings Moves: Tesla (TSLA) |
||
|
Date |
Results |
Reaction |
|
July 2019 |
M$0.72 |
-13.6% |
|
Oct 2019 |
B$2.20 |
+17.6% |
|
Jan 2020 |
B$0.40 |
+10.3% |
|
Apr 2020 |
B $1.60 |
-2.2% |
Note: the share price improved from initial reaction.
|
Stock Earnings Moves: Microsoft (MSFT) |
||
|
Date |
Results |
Reaction |
|
July 2019 |
B$0.16 |
+3.1% |
|
Oct 2019 |
B$0.14 |
+2.1% |
|
Jan 2020 |
B$0.19 |
+2.7% |
|
Apr 2020 |
B$0.14 |
+0.5% |
Shares of MSFT have rallied high in the week after posting earnings for eight straight quarters.
Home Sweet Home
Existing home sales snapped a three-month losing streak with a record increase, up 20.7% in June to 4,720,000 from May’s 3,910,000 units. This was the biggest increase since the National Association of Realtors began tracking the series in 1968. While a large number, it is still below pre-pandemic levels and down11.3% year over year.
First time home buyers accounted for 35% up from 34% in May and flat year over year.
Low rates, low inventory and more people looking to move to the suburbs add to the already inflated pricing and shortage of supply. Inventory of 1.57 million units was up from 1.55 million, but it is still down 18.2% from the prior year.
Sales based on price
| Tweet |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| More commentary archives | |
|
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|