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Morning Commentary

Rally Pauses on Coronavirus Development

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
2/13/2020 9:23 AM

What an amazing session yesterday, where buying triggered additional buying, as more fence-sitters were forced to buy or to keep missing one of the greatest rallies ever.

What’s really intriguing is most would-be buyers cooling their heels on the sidelines want to buy a big dip, and it just isn’t happening.

Market breadth was good but not as strong as a 275 point move in the Dow Jones Industrial Average would suggest.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancing

1,768

1,998

Declining

1,156

1,202

52 Week High

270

256

52 Week Low

35

50

Advancing

2.54B

1.60B

Declining

1.26B

710.14M

2020 YTD

Bernie & Wall Street

The question after the stock market erupted higher the day after the dust settled in New Hampshire is if the investors think Bernie Sanders will be the democrat nominee but would lose big time against President Trump.  How could I come to that conclusion?

One stock is the perfect illustration of how Wall Street was quaking in its collective boots when Elizabeth Warren had all the moment  but broke out the champagne with Bernie taking the lead.   United Health Group (UNH) shares began plunging last summer as Warren began to pop up on top in various polls. 

CBS Tracking Poll Sept 2019

George Washington University Poll Oct 2019

United Health shares hit rock bottom on Oct 15th at $215.00 before finding its footing, as Warren began to fade upon unveiling “details” on how she would pay for the Green New Deal.  Wall Street thought Warren, who says she’s a capitalist, could have won in a general election.  Judging from the 4.3% pop yesterday in the stock, its clear Wall Street might actually be rooting for the socialist. 

Portfolio Approach        

We added a new position in technology in the model portfolio and took profits in a Healthcare stock.

Today

This morning, the markets are under some pressure after an acknowledge spike in people affected by the coronavirus.  The change comes as a result of the inclusion of new testing methods.  The news is more alarming in the sense China hasn’t been forthcoming,  and it is still refusing to let an independent medical and scientist team from America into the country.

The good news is cases outside Hubei Province are growing a much slower pace.


 

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