Afternoon Note
It’s been a quiet session, as I suggested in the morning commentary. Investors are bracing for tomorrow’s jobs report. Typical jobs report tension is enhanced after yesterday’s 67,000 jobs report from ADP.
ADP
Additional anxiety is coming from the employment components of other economic data releases.
November Economic Data |
Report |
Change |
ISM Manufacturing |
46.6 |
-1.1 |
ISM Services |
55.5 |
+1.8 |
Empire Fed Survey |
10.4 |
+2.8 |
Philly Fed Survey |
21.5 |
-11.4 |
Consumer Confidence (Jobs Plentiful) |
44.8 |
-2.9 |
I have to say forget the official consensus. The good news is expectations are much lower than the consensus of 185,000 coming into the week, which means the bar is low. Moreover, I suspect goods producing from the Bureau of Labor and transportation are going to come in stronger than the ADP report.
The major indices are lower, but not by much.
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4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
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4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
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4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
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4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
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4/4/2024 1:42 PM | Stocks Bounce |
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4/3/2024 1:41 PM | Cuts Not Soon |
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