Afternoon Note
It’s been a quiet session, as I suggested in the morning commentary. Investors are bracing for tomorrow’s jobs report. Typical jobs report tension is enhanced after yesterday’s 67,000 jobs report from ADP.
ADP

Additional anxiety is coming from the employment components of other economic data releases.
|
November Economic Data |
Report |
Change |
|
ISM Manufacturing |
46.6 |
-1.1 |
|
ISM Services |
55.5 |
+1.8 |
|
Empire Fed Survey |
10.4 |
+2.8 |
|
Philly Fed Survey |
21.5 |
-11.4 |
|
Consumer Confidence (Jobs Plentiful) |
44.8 |
-2.9 |
I have to say forget the official consensus. The good news is expectations are much lower than the consensus of 185,000 coming into the week, which means the bar is low. Moreover, I suspect goods producing from the Bureau of Labor and transportation are going to come in stronger than the ADP report.
The major indices are lower, but not by much.
| Tweet |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
| 12/11/2025 9:34 AM | THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS |
| 12/10/2025 1:30 PM | The Street Awaits Fed’s Decision |
| 12/10/2025 9:41 AM | POWELL TAKES CENTER STAGE |
| 12/9/2025 1:27 PM | Fed on Deck |
| 12/9/2025 9:31 AM | NVDA GETS THE GREEN LIGHT |
| 12/8/2025 1:35 PM | Fed Week Jitters |
| 12/8/2025 9:41 AM | HIGH BETA GOES HIGHER |
| 12/5/2025 1:31 PM | PCE Inflation Cools |
| 12/5/2025 9:41 AM | THEME STOCKS LOOK FOR SECOND 2025 ACT |
| 12/4/2025 1:35 PM | Muted Action |
| 12/4/2025 9:43 AM | UPWARD BIAS ON HOPES FOR FRIENDLY FED |
| 12/3/2025 1:29 PM | Recovering from Early Drop |
| 12/3/2025 9:43 AM | TRYPTOPHANE KICKS IN LATE |
| 12/2/2025 1:31 PM | Intraday Bounce |
| 12/2/2025 9:41 AM | THE STREAK IS LONG IN THE TOOTH |
| 12/1/2025 1:30 PM | Markets Start on a Softer Note |
| 12/1/2025 9:38 AM | V FOR VICTORY |
| 11/28/2025 9:14 AM | THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR |
| 11/26/2025 1:15 PM | Action To Be Thankful For |
| 11/26/2025 10:12 AM | COILED SPRINGS UNLEASHED |
| 11/25/2025 1:17 PM | Incredible Session |
| 11/25/2025 9:51 AM | THE BAND IS PLAYING THEIR FAVORITE TUNE |
| More commentary archives | |
|
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|