Afternoon Note
It’s been a quiet session, as I suggested in the morning commentary. Investors are bracing for tomorrow’s jobs report. Typical jobs report tension is enhanced after yesterday’s 67,000 jobs report from ADP.
ADP
Additional anxiety is coming from the employment components of other economic data releases.
November Economic Data |
Report |
Change |
ISM Manufacturing |
46.6 |
-1.1 |
ISM Services |
55.5 |
+1.8 |
Empire Fed Survey |
10.4 |
+2.8 |
Philly Fed Survey |
21.5 |
-11.4 |
Consumer Confidence (Jobs Plentiful) |
44.8 |
-2.9 |
I have to say forget the official consensus. The good news is expectations are much lower than the consensus of 185,000 coming into the week, which means the bar is low. Moreover, I suspect goods producing from the Bureau of Labor and transportation are going to come in stronger than the ADP report.
The major indices are lower, but not by much.
Tweet |
7/14/2025 1:32 PM | Decisive Week |
7/14/2025 9:32 AM | GET READY! |
7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
More commentary archives |
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|