Afternoon Note
It’s been a quiet session, as I suggested in the morning commentary. Investors are bracing for tomorrow’s jobs report. Typical jobs report tension is enhanced after yesterday’s 67,000 jobs report from ADP.
ADP

Additional anxiety is coming from the employment components of other economic data releases.
|
November Economic Data |
Report |
Change |
|
ISM Manufacturing |
46.6 |
-1.1 |
|
ISM Services |
55.5 |
+1.8 |
|
Empire Fed Survey |
10.4 |
+2.8 |
|
Philly Fed Survey |
21.5 |
-11.4 |
|
Consumer Confidence (Jobs Plentiful) |
44.8 |
-2.9 |
I have to say forget the official consensus. The good news is expectations are much lower than the consensus of 185,000 coming into the week, which means the bar is low. Moreover, I suspect goods producing from the Bureau of Labor and transportation are going to come in stronger than the ADP report.
The major indices are lower, but not by much.
| Tweet |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| 9/9/2026 9:35 AM | Al KILLER TRADE IS BACK |
| 9/8/2026 1:09 PM | Mixed Start to the Week |
| 9/8/2026 9:21 AM | SHORT WEEK BUT LONG WAIT FOR CPI |
| 9/4/2026 1:28 PM | Taking Some Momentum Out |
| 9/4/2026 9:34 AM | THE STAGE IS SET |
| 9/3/2026 12:59 PM | Yields Inch Lower |
| 9/3/2026 9:29 AM | IS SMART MONEY BUYING? |
| 9/2/2026 1:37 PM | Wednesday Winds Back |
| 9/2/2026 9:15 AM | MARKET EDGING TOWARD PANIC |
| 9/1/2026 1:24 PM | Yields and Oil Weigh on Stocks |
| 9/1/2026 9:35 AM | STEALTH FISHING IN BIG NAMES |
| 8/31/2026 1:22 PM | Monday’s Market |
| 8/31/2026 9:33 AM | ASSESSING WARSH – DID SOMEONE SAY THE BAND IS GETTING BACK TOGETHER? |
| 8/28/2026 1:39 PM | Jackson Hole Day |
| 8/28/2026 9:45 AM | TRYING TO SHAME THE FED CHAIR (IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK) |
| 8/27/2026 1:49 PM | Technology Leads the Charge |
| 8/27/2026 9:41 AM | NVDA DELIVERS |
| 8/26/2026 1:12 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
| 8/26/2026 9:37 AM | CONSUMERS LOOKING FOR END TO CONFLICT |
| 8/25/2026 1:43 PM | Subdued Action |
| 8/25/2026 9:44 AM | USA BRINGING THE HAMMER (BUT STILL SHOWING RESTRAINT) |
| 8/24/2026 1:28 PM | Bessent on Deck |
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