Afternoon Note
It’s been a quiet session, as I suggested in the morning commentary. Investors are bracing for tomorrow’s jobs report. Typical jobs report tension is enhanced after yesterday’s 67,000 jobs report from ADP.
ADP
Additional anxiety is coming from the employment components of other economic data releases.
November Economic Data |
Report |
Change |
ISM Manufacturing |
46.6 |
-1.1 |
ISM Services |
55.5 |
+1.8 |
Empire Fed Survey |
10.4 |
+2.8 |
Philly Fed Survey |
21.5 |
-11.4 |
Consumer Confidence (Jobs Plentiful) |
44.8 |
-2.9 |
I have to say forget the official consensus. The good news is expectations are much lower than the consensus of 185,000 coming into the week, which means the bar is low. Moreover, I suspect goods producing from the Bureau of Labor and transportation are going to come in stronger than the ADP report.
The major indices are lower, but not by much.
Tweet |
10/15/2025 9:53 AM | STRONG “DOWN” DAY |
10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
10/8/2025 9:45 AM | DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOTTOM FISHING |
10/7/2025 1:34 PM | Taking a Breather |
10/7/2025 9:55 AM | LOTS OF CHASING BUT SOME BOTTOM FISHING TOO |
10/6/2025 1:36 PM | AMD deal powers Semiconductors |
10/6/2025 9:42 AM | ROTATION HAS BEGUN |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
10/1/2025 9:45 AM | FINTECH MAKES ITS MOVE |
9/30/2025 1:47 PM | Shutdown Clock Ticks |
9/30/2025 9:52 AM | THANK YOU, SEPTEMBER |
9/29/2025 1:43 PM | Technology Turning Back Online |
9/29/2025 9:43 AM | Buy the Dip & March of the Federal Reserve Talking Heads |
More commentary archives |
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|