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Afternoon Note

Fifty Day Fails

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/5/2019 1:28 PM

I mentioned this morning, once the 50-day fails, it’s not uncommon to see tests of the 200-day moving average, although it normally doesn’t happen in a single session.  But right now, machines and fear have taken over.  I don’t think professional investors are panicking. 

Key Moving Averages

Dow

NASDAQ

S&P 500

50 Day

26,485

8,000

2,932

200 Day

25,556

7,551

2,790

 

That said, saber rattling continues to intensify, and one has to wonder about any backchannel discussions.

Speaking of which, I have to believe Donald Trump has spoken with Jay Powell, and maybe, at some point, we could get news or developments from both.   From the Fed’s point of view, we got yet another report that came in below consensus.  In addition to ISM Services missing, the Prices component came in lower than expected (seven of eight times 2019) bolstering worries of deflation.

Right now, there is no way to game the bottom. On the upside, I’m looking at levels where rebounds fizzled. 


 

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