Afternoon Note
I mentioned this morning, once the 50-day fails, it’s not uncommon to see tests of the 200-day moving average, although it normally doesn’t happen in a single session. But right now, machines and fear have taken over. I don’t think professional investors are panicking.
Key Moving Averages |
Dow |
NASDAQ |
S&P 500 |
50 Day |
26,485 |
8,000 |
2,932 |
200 Day |
25,556 |
7,551 |
2,790 |
That said, saber rattling continues to intensify, and one has to wonder about any backchannel discussions.
Speaking of which, I have to believe Donald Trump has spoken with Jay Powell, and maybe, at some point, we could get news or developments from both. From the Fed’s point of view, we got yet another report that came in below consensus. In addition to ISM Services missing, the Prices component came in lower than expected (seven of eight times 2019) bolstering worries of deflation.
Right now, there is no way to game the bottom. On the upside, I’m looking at levels where rebounds fizzled.
Tweet |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
6/23/2025 1:47 PM | Getting Some Resolve |
6/23/2025 9:51 AM | BRACING |
6/20/2025 1:29 PM | Second Triple Witching |
6/20/2025 9:38 AM | POWELL BLEW IT |
6/18/2025 12:41 PM | FED Day |
6/18/2025 9:45 AM | ROOM WITH A VIEW |
6/17/2025 1:26 PM | Tension Continues |
6/17/2025 9:50 AM | THE BIG TECH TEN & CO |
6/16/2025 1:34 PM | Fears Subside |
6/16/2025 9:44 AM | DRUMBEATS OF PEACE |
6/13/2025 1:30 PM | Showing Resilience |
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