Morning Commentary

What a great way to begin the week - initially, stocks got a bid from Iran war headlines, and Treasury is working to stave off Yen weakness. Still, after some wall-flipping, the newest narrative reemerged: hyperscalers are going to get paid, and the artificial intelligence (AI) gambit will live up to the hype.

A Different Kind of Panic
And just like that, the panic pendulum has swung back toward the need to get in the market, especially in those names that the Street questioned and punished for so many weeks.
Investors dumped safe-haven names as if the coast were clear.

The S&P 500 (SPX) is knocking on the door of a new all-time high. It's been a formidable resistance point, so closing above it would add gravitas to the move.

Is Growth Ready for a Close-Up?
I like the factor quilts with no red and widespread distribution of gains. Most noticeably, growth faded this year against momentum, and then against value.
Small-Caps keep bringing it!

Lots of Room
Growth peaked last year with Technology (XLK), but never regained its mojo. That could be changing, as the risk-reward ratio has been flipped on its head, and growth is now more “value” than value.

Manufacturing Boom – Gets Stronger
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing number yesterday was amazing, building on its seven-month growth spurt.
Employment has surged into expansion. And the overall economy growth trend is 21 months and gaining speed.
Economists want the Fed to stop this: That’s Nuts!

After the close, Palantir Technologies (PLTR) crushed Wall Street’s consensus.

The shares soared in after-hours trading.

After the close today, SpaceX (SPCX) will post its earnings. The Street is focused on lock-up releases, but that might be the perfect backdrop for a positive surprise from the business.

Today’s Session

Lots have happened since your head hit the pillow. A major development in the world of memory. Memory and storage names are erupting higher.
The word is that the Trump administration is on the cusp of banning US imports of Chinese data center components.
US names popping:

Meanwhile, WTI is under $80.00. Scott Bessent said a deal to open the Strait could happen in 24 hours. Operative word “could.”
| Comments |
| And if it does the real question is will it last longer than 24hrs? James Sheperd on 8/4/2026 9:42:54 AM |
| Tweet |
| 8/18/2026 1:12 PM | Rotation Under the Surface |
| 8/18/2026 9:34 AM | AI MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
| 8/17/2026 1:38 PM | Marginal Move Monday |
| 8/17/2026 9:38 AM | INTERESTING PHENOMENON EMERGING |
| 8/14/2026 1:40 PM | Slow Close to the Week |
| 8/14/2026 9:29 AM | SO MUCH FOR DOLDRUMS |
| 8/13/2026 1:33 PM | PPI Results Support Stocks |
| 8/13/2026 9:28 AM | GREEN LIGHT TO RALLY |
| 8/12/2026 1:28 PM | Inflation Steps Aside as the AI Trade Steps Up |
| 8/12/2026 9:24 AM | AI STORY GETS AFTER-HOURS BOOST |
| 8/11/2026 1:18 PM | Choppy Action Ahead of Inflation Data |
| 8/11/2026 7:12 AM | BACKING UP THE TRUCK |
| 8/10/2026 1:19 PM | Sideways Start to the Week |
| 8/10/2026 9:30 AM | PUTTING MONEY TO WORK |
| 8/7/2026 1:26 PM | Shifting The Focus |
| 8/7/2026 9:44 AM | RETURN OF THE MAG SEVEN? |
| 8/6/2026 1:21 PM | Thursday Twist |
| 8/6/2026 9:36 AM | BACK IN THE MUCK |
| 8/5/2026 1:40 PM | Cooling After Morning Highs |
| 8/5/2026 9:29 AM | Something for Everyone |
| 8/4/2026 1:36 PM | Snapback to New Highs |
| 8/4/2026 9:27 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS BACK |
| 8/3/2026 1:13 PM | Sustaining Momentum |
| 8/3/2026 9:47 AM | Rotation |
| 7/31/2026 2:12 PM | Amazon Carries the Tape |
| More commentary archives | |
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