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Afternoon Note

Recession Fears Continue

By Karina Hernandez, Senior Research Analyst
7/8/2022 1:37 PM

The market opened with a gusto but started to lose steam as the Street evaluated the resilient labor market and if  it would bolster the Fed’s hawkish stance. Investors continue to expect a 75bp hike in the fed funds rate at the July meeting.

While the major indices are down, most rates are still higher. The 10-year is up 7 basis points to 3.07%, and the 2-year up 6 points to 3.10%.

Healthcare is the sole winner in the S&P 500 this afternoon, while Materials are the worst performers.

S&P 500 Index

 

-0.14%

Communication Services XLC

 

0.93%

Consumer Discretionary XLY

 

-0.46%

Consumer Staples XLP

 

-0.42%

Energy XLE

 

-0.39%

Financials XLF

 

-0.39%

Health Care XLV

+0.52%

 

Industrials XLI

 

-0.78%

Materials XLB

 

-0.99%

Real Estate XLRE

 

-0.72%

Technology XLK

 

-0.84%

Utilities XLU

 

-0.49%

 
The Atlanta Fed’s latest 2Q22 GDP estimate saw a small change, but it is still pointing to a recession. Consumer spending edged higher and Industrial Production spending continues strong, which is why we want exposure to these names, including software.

We are looking for a moral victory right now, closing down less than 1%.

Have a great weekend.


 

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