Afternoon Note
Once again growth and defensive sectors are higher while cyclical/value lower. It seems the string of disappointing economic data is finally reflected in certain sectors.
The ten-year yield bounced off the trend line, but there is no upside pressure.

There is intriguing action in small cap stocks, as the Russell 2000 looks more and more like its hit a near-term bottom.
The last day of the month gives way to that most difficult month on the calendar. September actually performs even worse when it's the first year of a new president. I'm not wedded to those kinds of historic precedents, although I'm big on year-end rallies.
Hot money has bounced around so much it’s easy to get whiplash - right now it's focused on the aforementioned small caps and China on weakness.
| Tweet |
| 10/24/2025 1:36 PM | Soft CPI Powers The Market |
| 10/24/2025 9:41 AM | NICE & STEADY |
| 10/23/2025 1:32 PM | Thursday Rebound |
| 10/23/2025 9:33 AM | SQUEAKY WHEEL |
| 10/22/2025 1:32 PM | Tesla On Deck |
| 10/22/2025 9:35 AM | SPINNING WHEELS |
| 10/21/2025 1:35 PM | Dinosaurs Rumble |
| 10/21/2025 9:41 AM | STEALTH PROFIT-TAKING & ROTATION |
| 10/20/2025 1:28 PM | Monday Strength |
| 10/20/2025 9:40 AM | CONSOLIDATING GAINS & ANXIETY |
| 10/17/2025 1:43 PM | Friday Zig Zag |
| 10/17/2025 9:51 AM | They Warned Us About Everything Else |
| 10/16/2025 1:33 PM | Another Intraday Reversal |
| 10/16/2025 9:30 AM | ENCOURAGING BUT NEED MORE |
| 10/15/2025 1:23 PM | Intraday Weakness |
| 10/15/2025 9:53 AM | STRONG “DOWN” DAY |
| 10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
| 10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
| 10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
| 10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
| 10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
| 10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
| 10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
| 10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
| 10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
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