Afternoon Note
There are a couple of things to look at today as we try to understand the message of the market.
American Businesses
Business learn to adapt and weather difficult times, which is what Proctor and Gamble (PG) has done. The company posted a strong earnings beat driven by the ultimate combination of higher volume and sales. The biggest negative was currency (see table), but overall, the news underscores the strength and confidence of the American consumer.
PG Segment Performance |
Organic |
Currency
|
|
Volume |
Sales |
||
Beauty |
+3% |
+7% |
-3$ |
Grooming |
+5% |
+4% |
-4% |
Healthcare |
+4% |
+4% |
-2% |
Fabric |
+5% |
+5% |
-2% |
Baby |
+1% |
-1% |
-2% |
Is the Fed Blowing it?
The worse news of the day is existing home sales, which came in below consensus. The news lends credence to the notion that maybe President Trump is right about the Federal Reserve needing to put the brakes on and move away from their rigid determination to hike rates.
Existing Home Sales
The news in housing (ITB) is hurting a wide swath of names in the food chain, especially homebuilders, which are hitting new 52-week lows today:
The board market rally also lost some altitude when a report came out that Xiamen Airlines was considering ordering from Airbus rather than Boeing. According to Bloomberg, this could impact an $18 billion deal.
This is interest considering on their home page Xiamen mentions:
Established in 1984 and with its headquarters located in Xiamen, a coastal city in Fujian in Southeast China, Xiamen Airlines is China’s first airline company operating under the modern enterprise system. Through 34 years of steady development, Xiamen Airlines is “an epitome of China's civil aviation development” as praised by President Xi Jinping and has become the most distinctive airline company in China's civil aviation industry.
Summary
Market jitters are here for now, and they play an important and necessary role in any bull market.
Have a good weekend.
Comments |
The Xiamen deal sounds a lot to me like they are using Airbus to try to get Boeing to sweeten their offer. Otherwise, why would Xiamen make it public that they are considering buying from Airbus? Boeing already knew that they were considering Airbus. That's not a secret. Wouldn't they just negotiate a deal with Airbus and make the deal if that's what they really want to do, without making public statements during negotiations? George Elliott on 10/19/2018 2:01:18 PM |
You’re right Charles, the Fed is blowing it, but that is the whole ideal. The Dems along with the RINOs tried unsuccessfully to stop Trump. Now it’s the Feds turn. They will continue to raise rates to stall the economy Ray on 10/19/2018 3:48:53 PM |
Could it possibly be that the FOMC has a few holdovers from the last administration who just might hold Never-Trump inclinations and aren't too unhappy to undercut his economic success. Gary D on 10/21/2018 9:44:05 AM |
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