Morning Commentary

Only four sectors finished higher, and most themes were deeply in the red yesterday. Only 27% of S&P 500 (SPX) components finished in the plus column, and only 17% for the S&P 400.

Internal Bleeding
The market stumbled out of the gate, and while there wasn’t any panic, internals kept getting decimated:
Still Fearful
The Fear & Greed Index has raced back into “neutral” after knocking on the door of “extreme fear” a week ago. It might not be “fear,” but there is serious anxiety out there. Investors are looking for a clean break and are willing to chase at this stage.

There is Demand, After All!
Primary dealers took a record-low 2.5% of yesterday's $39.0 billion bond auction and served as a relief valve for yields, which were off to the races at the start of trading. We could be at a short-term top/pause, but I’m still in the camp that this is year three in the secular bond bear market.

Some Calm

| Tweet |
| 10/8/2026 7:08 AM | INTERNAL INFERNO |
| 10/7/2026 1:17 PM | High Yield Fears Return |
| 10/7/2026 9:35 AM | NEW HIGHS BEGET NEW HIGHS |
| 10/6/2026 1:24 PM | Reaching New Highs |
| 10/6/2026 9:33 AM | AIN’T AFRAID OF SKYROCKETING YIELDS |
| 10/5/2026 1:29 PM | Broad Participation |
| 10/5/2026 9:35 AM | LOOKING FOR BREAKOUTS |
| 10/2/2026 1:08 PM | A Friday Lift |
| 10/2/2026 9:41 AM | A GENTLE WAVE |
| 10/1/2026 1:15 PM | Volatile Start |
| 10/1/2026 9:28 AM | THE SILENT BEAR & RAGING BULL |
| 9/30/2026 1:35 PM | Waiting on Micron |
| 9/30/2026 9:42 AM | SALAD DAYS FOR SUPER INTELLIGENCE |
| 9/29/2026 1:38 PM | Weak Tone |
| 9/29/2026 9:35 AM | STRANGE DAYS INDEED |
| 9/28/2026 1:15 PM | A Soft Start to the Week |
| 9/28/2026 9:35 AM | BOND MARKET HISTORY LESSON HELPS |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
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