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Morning Commentary

HOARDING GOLD IN THEM THAR HILLS

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
1/7/2026 9:45 AM

 

Materials (XLB) continued to gain traction yesterday, leading all sectors, as Energy (XLE) gave back its Maduro bounce.

Beyond Picks & Shovels

But the most remarkable story continues to be memory and storage. The picks & shovels phase of the artificial intelligence (AI) “Gold Rush” has been so successful that the storage phase has caught many folks off guard.

The stock market knew this, which is why so many of the biggest winners last year were storage and memory stocks that enjoyed one-year rallies rarely seen in the stock market's history. Yet, few “experts” discussed this as a potential bottleneck.

Oddly, it was not that long ago that everyone had written off SanDisk (SNDK) and Western Digital Corp (WDC). Now, they are juggernauts that many think can keep surging for the rest of the year. But not at 27% a day.

Solid market breadth.

Once again, small-caps looked great, particularly value, core, and revenue.

Historically, when the first five days of January are higher, the market enjoys substantial gains for the year.

Market and economy focused chart showing S&P 500 stock market full-year performance based on whether the first five trading days of January are positive or negative. Positive early-year market starts are associated with stronger annual stock returns, healthier market trends, and better economic momentum, while negative starts show weaker market performance, larger drawdowns, and lower positivity rates. © Bluekurtic Market Insights.

Today’s Session

Major indices are starting the day dancing around their baselines.

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ADP employment for December showed a 41K increase, following a revised 29K loss in November, and a less than the anticipated 47K gain.

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Education, health services, and leisure and hospitality were the top three job creating areas. 

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Notably, small businesses for the first time in a while posted a positive change.

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Additionally, there is more economic data to be released later this morning.

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This morning the U.S. launched an operation to seize a Russian flagged oil tanker in the Atlantic. This comes as part of the blockade on Venezuelan oil exports.

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