Morning Commentary
Once again, it was all about Technology (XLK), followed by Communication Services (XLC) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY).
The “Mag Seven” continued to be powered by positive Artificial Intelligence (AI) news that broadened the story beyond chips.
ISM Services
Respondents to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services survey discussed the unknowns of tariffs and the new cabinet, but we shouldn’t downplay how much this report missed the mark:
The November Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment number also came up short of the Street at 146,000 against the consensus of 150,000.
A headline from the report was the monster revision of October to 184,000 from the initially reported 233,000.
Bonds Slip
Despite the bad news, the stock market rallied, but iShares 20 + Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) turned lower to land right at the 50-day moving average.
Today’s Session
It’s a quiet morning with Bitcoin (BTC) passing $100,000, hogging the headlines. The big jobs report scheduled for tomorrow looms large, we’ll share thoughts in the afternoon note. In the meantime, I’m kind of bummed that all the bears are throwing in the towel.
I absolutely love it when most of the Street is negative. The good news is they are still underestimating the market.
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9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
8/29/2025 1:33 PM | Fed Governor Cook(ed)? |
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