Morning Commentary
Once again, it was all about Technology (XLK), followed by Communication Services (XLC) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY).
The “Mag Seven” continued to be powered by positive Artificial Intelligence (AI) news that broadened the story beyond chips.
ISM Services
Respondents to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services survey discussed the unknowns of tariffs and the new cabinet, but we shouldn’t downplay how much this report missed the mark:
The November Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment number also came up short of the Street at 146,000 against the consensus of 150,000.
A headline from the report was the monster revision of October to 184,000 from the initially reported 233,000.
Bonds Slip
Despite the bad news, the stock market rallied, but iShares 20 + Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) turned lower to land right at the 50-day moving average.
Today’s Session
It’s a quiet morning with Bitcoin (BTC) passing $100,000, hogging the headlines. The big jobs report scheduled for tomorrow looms large, we’ll share thoughts in the afternoon note. In the meantime, I’m kind of bummed that all the bears are throwing in the towel.
I absolutely love it when most of the Street is negative. The good news is they are still underestimating the market.
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1/17/2025 12:50 PM | Inauguration Anticipation |
1/17/2025 9:54 AM | SLOW ROTATION AND GOOD NEWS WAS GOOD NEWS |
1/16/2025 1:22 PM | Bouncy Ride |
1/16/2025 9:45 AM | TAKE THE MONEY & RUN |
1/15/2025 1:34 PM | Bank Stocks Surge |
1/15/2025 9:48 AM | MAYBE THE ROTATION TRADE HAS BEGUN |
1/14/2025 1:14 PM | Rebound Falters |
1/14/2025 9:48 AM | GOOD BOUNCE BACK |
1/13/2025 1:32 PM | Chipping Away |
1/13/2025 9:41 AM | THE GAME HAS BEEN ALTERED |
1/10/2025 1:10 PM | Under Pressure |
1/10/2025 9:41 AM | ALL EYES ON THE JOBS REPORT |
1/8/2025 1:34 PM | Anxiety in the Air |
1/8/2025 9:50 AM | NASDAQ IS A BEEHIVE |
1/7/2025 1:40 PM | Problematic Bond Market |
1/7/2025 9:48 AM | Stocks of The Future |
1/6/2025 1:26 PM | Continuing Friday’s Momentum |
1/6/2025 9:47 AM | LET 2025 BEGIN |
1/3/2025 1:34 PM | Friday Spark |
1/3/2025 9:28 AM | CATCH THAT PIGEON |
1/2/2025 1:10 PM | Bumpy Start |
1/2/2025 9:47 AM | THE NEW YEAR |
12/31/2024 9:45 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
12/30/2024 12:48 PM | Not The Place To Panic |
12/30/2024 9:44 AM | WALTZING INTO 2025 NOT EASY |
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