Afternoon Note
Major indices are split with only marginal changes. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are in the red.
The market is moving very close to Extreme Greed territory.
Six out of eleven sectors are in the green today, albeit most moving marginally. The best performer is Real Estate (XLRE), up 0.55%, and the worst performing sector is Materials (XLB), down 0.8%.
No good news for economic releases yet. Several economic data points continue to dive at a pace associated with recession. We saw it in the latest Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) early in the month and now today in the Chicago Fed Manufacturing PMI results.
Inflationary pressures continue to weigh in.
The Dallas Fed Manufacturing index is now down for 28th straight months to -9 in September from -9.7 in August and missed consensus of -4.5.
There continues to be uncertainty with one respondent noting the outlook is “totally controlled by the November election.”
The market briefly moved into the green after Fed Bostic signaled a possible 50 basis point cut in November.
FED'S BOSTIC: I AM OPEN TO ANOTHER HALF-PERCENTAGE-POINT RATE CUT IF LABOR MARKET SHOWS UNEXPECTED WEAKNESS.
All eyes are now on Powell’s speech.
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7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
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