Afternoon Note
Major indices are split with only marginal changes. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are in the red.

The market is moving very close to Extreme Greed territory.

Six out of eleven sectors are in the green today, albeit most moving marginally. The best performer is Real Estate (XLRE), up 0.55%, and the worst performing sector is Materials (XLB), down 0.8%.

No good news for economic releases yet. Several economic data points continue to dive at a pace associated with recession. We saw it in the latest Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) early in the month and now today in the Chicago Fed Manufacturing PMI results.

Inflationary pressures continue to weigh in.

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing index is now down for 28th straight months to -9 in September from -9.7 in August and missed consensus of -4.5.

There continues to be uncertainty with one respondent noting the outlook is “totally controlled by the November election.”

The market briefly moved into the green after Fed Bostic signaled a possible 50 basis point cut in November.
FED'S BOSTIC: I AM OPEN TO ANOTHER HALF-PERCENTAGE-POINT RATE CUT IF LABOR MARKET SHOWS UNEXPECTED WEAKNESS.
All eyes are now on Powell’s speech.
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| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
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| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
| 12/16/2025 1:44 PM | Drifting Lower |
| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
| 12/15/2025 1:27 PM | Choppy Action |
| 12/15/2025 9:38 AM | LOOKING FOR A NUDGE |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
| 12/11/2025 9:34 AM | THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS |
| 12/10/2025 1:30 PM | The Street Awaits Fed’s Decision |
| 12/10/2025 9:41 AM | POWELL TAKES CENTER STAGE |
| 12/9/2025 1:27 PM | Fed on Deck |
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