Morning Commentary
Yesterday’s session felt like the Western classic “High Noon,” but today could be the shootout at the O.K. Corral. The growth sector by Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was higher, but the rest of the market hid in the shadows.

Old Formula Falls Flat
Those big rectangles and boxes were green, but all the smaller rectangles and boxes were red. It wasn’t long ago that the swagger of the mega-cap could spark wider participation.

Suddenly, the broad rally thinned out fast.

Wait And See
Investor sentiment got less bullish and bearish, as investors weren’t sure how to feel about the market.

Fresh Guess
After the ADP Jobs report laid an egg, Wall Street analysts went back to sharpen their pencils, and now they see fewer jobs.

Today’s Session
Jobs Report:
Ironically, some are trying to say August was a sequential improvement from July after revision. They fail to consider two things: A) August could be revised lower in the future and B) 142,000 isn’t a great number (118,000 private sector).

The Street now is pricing a 50-bps rate cut. I know that kind of cut is associated with recessions; that has nothing to do with the size of the cut but the timing. Let’s hope the Fed isn’t too late this time around.

| Tweet |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
| 12/30/2025 9:38 AM | FED MINUTES TODAY |
| 12/29/2025 2:11 PM | Holiday Continues |
| 12/29/2025 9:44 AM | LARGE STAYS IN CHARGE HEADING INTO 2026 |
| 12/26/2025 12:47 PM | Slow Session |
| 12/26/2025 9:30 AM | The Market’s Gift: New Heights |
| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
| 12/23/2025 9:26 AM | STRONG START TO A SHORTENED TRADING WEEK |
| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
| 12/16/2025 1:44 PM | Drifting Lower |
| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
| 12/15/2025 1:27 PM | Choppy Action |
| 12/15/2025 9:38 AM | LOOKING FOR A NUDGE |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
| 12/11/2025 9:34 AM | THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS |
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