Morning Commentary
Yesterday’s session felt like the Western classic “High Noon,” but today could be the shootout at the O.K. Corral. The growth sector by Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was higher, but the rest of the market hid in the shadows.

Old Formula Falls Flat
Those big rectangles and boxes were green, but all the smaller rectangles and boxes were red. It wasn’t long ago that the swagger of the mega-cap could spark wider participation.

Suddenly, the broad rally thinned out fast.

Wait And See
Investor sentiment got less bullish and bearish, as investors weren’t sure how to feel about the market.

Fresh Guess
After the ADP Jobs report laid an egg, Wall Street analysts went back to sharpen their pencils, and now they see fewer jobs.

Today’s Session
Jobs Report:
Ironically, some are trying to say August was a sequential improvement from July after revision. They fail to consider two things: A) August could be revised lower in the future and B) 142,000 isn’t a great number (118,000 private sector).

The Street now is pricing a 50-bps rate cut. I know that kind of cut is associated with recessions; that has nothing to do with the size of the cut but the timing. Let’s hope the Fed isn’t too late this time around.

| Tweet |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
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