Morning Commentary
It had to happen at some point, but it was still shocking that yesterday the market closed lower. Overall trends are primarily pointing higher, but now, the Russell 2000 (IWM) sees red arrows in the short-term and mid-term.

The market is stuck in steady optimism with a hint of anxiety.

Not Bearish But Cautious
Bear sentiment continued to ebb, but bullishness didn’t move as investors returned to the neutral zone.

Nvidia Paradox
Eight of eleven sectors finished higher on the S&P 500, but Technology (XLK) offset it yesterday, which took it on the chin.
I’m calling it the Nvidia (NVDA) Paradox.

Large-Cap Still Rules
Large-cap value edged higher, while small-cap growth declined the most.

Fresh Tech
Four Tech names were among the biggest gainers, including oversold household names (Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Salesforce (CRM)).

Today’s Session
Economic data from Europe points to a continued slowdown, which should excite investors looking for the ECB to continue cutting rates.
|
Global Composite PMI |
June |
May |
|
EU |
50.8 |
52.2 |
|
UK |
51.7 |
53.0 |
|
Germany |
50.6 |
52.4 |
|
France |
48.2 |
48.9 |
Meanwhile, there is $5.1 trillion of option notional expiring today.

The real test for the market is whether buyers will step up to buy weakness into the close.
| Tweet |
| 9/25/2026 1:21 PM | Diplomatic Hopes Set the Mood |
| 9/25/2026 9:38 AM | THE LEAD HORSES ARE BACK |
| 9/24/2026 1:20 PM | Yields Set the Tone |
| 9/24/2026 9:35 AM | TOO HOT? |
| 9/23/2026 1:09 PM | Rate Hike Fears |
| 9/23/2026 9:29 AM | RECORDS, RIVALS, AND THE RACE FOR AI |
| 9/22/2026 1:17 PM | Digesting Monday’s Rally |
| 9/22/2026 9:36 AM | A Strong Start to the Week |
| 9/21/2026 1:14 PM | Monday Momentum |
| 9/21/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Poised to Surge |
| 9/18/2026 1:32 PM | Yields Overshadowing Chip Strength |
| 9/18/2026 10:09 AM | REMEMBER 3D PRINTING? |
| 9/17/2026 1:29 PM | Bounce Back Thursday |
| 9/17/2026 9:45 AM | TIME FOR WARSH TO LEARN BLACKJACK AND BOXING |
| 9/16/2026 1:19 PM | Setting the Stage |
| 9/16/2026 9:37 AM | WILL WARSH BLINK? |
| 9/15/2026 1:39 PM | Tough Tuesday |
| 9/15/2026 9:39 AM | DOOMSDAY POSTPONED |
| 9/14/2026 1:23 PM | AI Slowdown, Yields Surge |
| 9/14/2026 9:56 AM | AI DOOM DOMINATED THE WEEKEND |
| 9/11/2026 1:23 PM | Staging a Rebound |
| 9/11/2026 9:41 AM | Monumental Tech Momentum Decline |
| 9/10/2026 1:20 PM | Choppy Action |
| 9/10/2026 9:32 AM | CALLING BESSENT'S BLUSTER |
| 9/9/2026 1:34 PM | Busy Wednesday |
| More commentary archives | |
|
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|