Morning Commentary
There was a lot of red in the market last week, which saw the S&P 500 down each session and five consecutive sessions going back to September 7th.
The good news is the “carnage” has only been 1.4%, which is impressive considering the average decline for five-day drawdowns since October 2016 has been 4.6%.
The key continues to be the action in those mega cap growth names that have skewed a lot of damage.
Portfolio Review
There are no weighting changes today in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
The market looks to open much higher and I suspect the crowds are really back from summer vacations ready to rock and roll.
The S&P 500 has seen its 50-day moving average hold time after time during the current leg higher, but I’ll be watching the upside.
The first test s 4,540 while a close above 4,600 is the big breakout.
Excited about the strong start to trading. My Payne’s Perspective is ready – contact your rep or research desk.
| Tweet |
| 4/2/2026 1:27 PM | Calming Tensions |
| 4/2/2026 9:35 AM | LIFTOFF |
| 4/1/2026 1:45 PM | April Fools: Jokes on the Bears |
| 4/1/2026 9:33 AM | OILING THE SPRINGS |
| 3/31/2026 1:25 PM | Markets Rally on Easing Geopolitical Concerns |
| 3/31/2026 9:34 AM | SHOOTING GALLERY |
| 3/30/2026 1:36 PM | Mixed Monday |
| 3/30/2026 9:37 AM | THE NEXT PHASE |
| 3/27/2026 1:26 PM | Waiting for The Dust to Settle |
| 3/27/2026 9:59 AM | STRESSED & FATIGUED |
| 3/26/2026 1:54 PM | Thursday Dip |
| 3/26/2026 9:42 AM | LOOKING FOR LEADERSHIP |
| 3/25/2026 1:42 PM | Facing Resistance |
| 3/25/2026 9:28 AM | Good Retry |
| 3/24/2026 1:27 PM | Participation Broadens |
| 3/24/2026 9:38 AM | GOOD TRY |
| 3/23/2026 1:20 PM | Market Over Sold |
| 3/23/2026 9:53 AM | OVERSOLD SIGNALS ABOUND |
| 3/20/2026 1:20 PM | From the Strait to the Street |
| 3/20/2026 9:45 AM | SIGNS OF LIFE |
| 3/19/2026 1:25 PM | Continued Pressure |
| 3/19/2026 9:44 AM | MIC DROP |
| 3/18/2026 1:44 PM | Facing Pressure |
| 3/18/2026 9:43 AM | STILL TEPID |
| 3/17/2026 1:27 PM | Continued Resilience |
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