Morning Commentary
There was a lot of red in the market last week, which saw the S&P 500 down each session and five consecutive sessions going back to September 7th.
The good news is the “carnage” has only been 1.4%, which is impressive considering the average decline for five-day drawdowns since October 2016 has been 4.6%.
The key continues to be the action in those mega cap growth names that have skewed a lot of damage.
Portfolio Review
There are no weighting changes today in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
The market looks to open much higher and I suspect the crowds are really back from summer vacations ready to rock and roll.
The S&P 500 has seen its 50-day moving average hold time after time during the current leg higher, but I’ll be watching the upside.
The first test s 4,540 while a close above 4,600 is the big breakout.
Excited about the strong start to trading. My Payne’s Perspective is ready – contact your rep or research desk.
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9/18/2025 7:13 AM | Risk Management Cut |
9/17/2025 1:33 PM | Fed on Deck |
9/17/2025 9:43 AM | Champing at the Bit |
9/16/2025 1:33 PM | All Eyes on the FOMC Meeting |
9/16/2025 10:05 AM | Growth Leads the Way |
9/15/2025 1:36 PM | Solid Rally |
9/15/2025 9:50 AM | It's Still Tech As We Await the Fed |
9/12/2025 1:28 PM | Mega-Caps Move Higher |
9/12/2025 9:32 AM | JAILBREAK |
9/11/2025 1:39 PM | Rally Continues |
9/11/2025 10:08 AM | All AI All the Time |
9/10/2025 1:55 PM | The Oracle Effect |
9/10/2025 9:50 AM | PARTY IN WHOVILLE |
9/9/2025 1:50 PM | Sharp BLS Revision |
9/9/2025 9:48 AM | Tech & Large Cap Safety |
9/8/2025 1:29 PM | Technology Leads Again |
9/8/2025 9:34 AM | FOREBODING |
9/5/2025 1:29 PM | Jobs Data Digest |
9/5/2025 9:55 AM | JOBS DAY (BUCKLE UP) |
9/4/2025 1:07 PM | Stocks Rise and Yields Sink |
9/4/2025 9:45 AM | MOSTLY BLAND |
9/3/2025 1:48 PM | Big Tech Rebounds |
9/3/2025 9:41 AM | NOT AN EMOTIONAL RELEASE (YET) |
9/2/2025 1:37 PM | Gloomy Start |
9/2/2025 9:44 AM | REMEMBER SEPTEMBER? |
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