Morning Commentary
There was a lot of red in the market last week, which saw the S&P 500 down each session and five consecutive sessions going back to September 7th.
The good news is the “carnage” has only been 1.4%, which is impressive considering the average decline for five-day drawdowns since October 2016 has been 4.6%.
The key continues to be the action in those mega cap growth names that have skewed a lot of damage.
Portfolio Review
There are no weighting changes today in our Hotline Model Portfolio.
Today’s Session
The market looks to open much higher and I suspect the crowds are really back from summer vacations ready to rock and roll.
The S&P 500 has seen its 50-day moving average hold time after time during the current leg higher, but I’ll be watching the upside.
The first test s 4,540 while a close above 4,600 is the big breakout.
Excited about the strong start to trading. My Payne’s Perspective is ready – contact your rep or research desk.
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7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
6/24/2025 1:47 PM | Peace Rally |
6/24/2025 9:48 AM | PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH: THE MARKET LOVES IT |
6/23/2025 1:47 PM | Getting Some Resolve |
6/23/2025 9:51 AM | BRACING |
6/20/2025 1:29 PM | Second Triple Witching |
6/20/2025 9:38 AM | POWELL BLEW IT |
6/18/2025 12:41 PM | FED Day |
6/18/2025 9:45 AM | ROOM WITH A VIEW |
6/17/2025 1:26 PM | Tension Continues |
6/17/2025 9:50 AM | THE BIG TECH TEN & CO |
6/16/2025 1:34 PM | Fears Subside |
6/16/2025 9:44 AM | DRUMBEATS OF PEACE |
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