Afternoon Note
There is a different tone today as the market reprices the possibility of the Fed to be more determined to see their tightening policy through. The latest CME FedWatch now sees a 73.1% (vs. 69.8% last week) for a 25bps rate hike next week, while and 26.9% for no hike.

Financials are changing the course today with banks rallying after dropping sharply on Monday. The hard-hit First Republic Bank (FRC) is up 46% leading the S&P 500 and Financials (XLF). Another big move comes from Meta Platforms Inc. (META) after the company announced its second round of layoffs.

News of Russian fighter colliding with a US surveillance drone above the Black Sea has pared gains in the major indices.
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| 12/31/2025 9:38 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
| 12/30/2025 1:17 PM | Investors Await FOMC Minutes |
| 12/30/2025 9:38 AM | FED MINUTES TODAY |
| 12/29/2025 2:11 PM | Holiday Continues |
| 12/29/2025 9:44 AM | LARGE STAYS IN CHARGE HEADING INTO 2026 |
| 12/26/2025 12:47 PM | Slow Session |
| 12/26/2025 9:30 AM | The Market’s Gift: New Heights |
| 12/24/2025 9:10 AM | HO HO HO, MERRY CHRISTMAS |
| 12/23/2025 1:35 PM | Just In Time For Santa |
| 12/23/2025 9:26 AM | STRONG START TO A SHORTENED TRADING WEEK |
| 12/22/2025 1:37 PM | Broad Strength |
| 12/22/2025 9:26 AM | GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END |
| 12/19/2025 1:40 PM | Is Santa Coming? |
| 12/19/2025 9:38 AM | DEAR SANTA |
| 12/18/2025 1:44 PM | Markets Enthusiastic |
| 12/18/2025 9:28 AM | ORACLE CONTINUES TO HAUNT THE AI TRADE |
| 12/17/2025 1:23 PM | Technology Slides |
| 12/17/2025 9:40 AM | SPRING LOADED |
| 12/16/2025 1:44 PM | Drifting Lower |
| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
| 12/15/2025 1:27 PM | Choppy Action |
| 12/15/2025 9:38 AM | LOOKING FOR A NUDGE |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
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