Afternoon Note
The market came out the gate with the kind of caution we have become accustomed of late. Growth was leading the way until news that the city of Washington, D.C. is suing Amazon over its business practices. It looked like Amazon (AMZN) was going to take off, but not anymore. The news is a reminder of political risks, but it’s not a major financial blow in of itself.
AMZN 5-day chart
Housing Boom Slowing?
This morning, more economic data releases missed Wall Street consensus. New Home sales came in at annualized rate of 863,000 from 917,000, which was a major revision lower from 1,021,000. Prices climbed to $372,400 from $310,100 a year earlier.
Future Confidence Waning
Consumer confidence of 117.2 was below consensus of 119. Consumers appear to really be worried about where things will be six months from now.
Consumer Confidence |
May |
Apr |
Present Conditions |
144.3 |
131.9 |
Expectations |
99.1 |
107.5 |
Interestingly all these developments are positive for the stock market, as they chip away at the notion of an overheated economy beyond the inflation surge.
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7/14/2025 1:32 PM | Decisive Week |
7/14/2025 9:32 AM | GET READY! |
7/11/2025 1:45 PM | Facing Pressure |
7/11/2025 9:48 AM | CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF |
7/10/2025 1:53 PM | Small Caps Rally |
7/10/2025 9:56 AM | ENOUGH ZEN TO SHARE |
7/9/2025 1:32 PM | NVDA New Milestone |
7/9/2025 9:46 AM | PASSING THE BATON |
7/8/2025 1:33 PM | Seesaw Session |
7/8/2025 9:55 AM | MORE SUMMER BLAHS THAN FEAR OF MYANMAR'S TARIFF |
7/7/2025 1:27 PM | Trade Talks and Profit Taking |
7/7/2025 9:51 AM | LOVING MOOD |
7/3/2025 9:45 AM | NICE & STEADY AS SEMIS CONTINUE TO CHIP IN |
7/2/2025 1:44 PM | Materials' Strength Continues |
7/2/2025 9:38 AM | BARNBURNER |
7/1/2025 1:29 PM | Rotation |
7/1/2025 9:45 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS CREEPING IN |
6/30/2025 1:24 PM | Steady As She Goes |
6/30/2025 9:54 AM | SUMMER RALLY STARTS |
6/27/2025 1:35 PM | Reaching New Heights |
6/27/2025 9:39 AM | THERE'S MORE! |
6/26/2025 1:10 PM | S&P Approaches Record |
6/26/2025 9:51 AM | CHIPS MOMENTUM CONTINUES |
6/25/2025 1:42 PM | Tech Stocks Power Nasdaq 100 |
6/25/2025 9:47 AM | CLIMBING MOUNTAINS OF WORRY |
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