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Payne's Perspective: May 10, 2021: Swing & Miss

5/10/2021
By Charles Payne CEO & Principal Analyst

What a wild week for the market, which began with fears of higher interest rates after the Secretary of Treasury, Janet Yellen, “inadvertently” suggested such action would be needed to stem the sizzling effects of President Biden’s economic plans.

The week ended with markets climbing higher when the jobs report came in significantly below the consensus – portraying an economy that might actually be fizzling, not growing by leaps and bounds anymore. There were misses in data for manufacturing and service economies, and both the ADP and BLS jobs reports missed, although the latter was something more dubious.

Key Economic Data

Actual

Estimate

ISM Manufacturing

60.7

65.0

Construction

0.2

1.8

Factory Orders

1.1

1.3

ADP

742,000

800,000

ISM Service

62.7

64.1

Non-Farm Payroll

266,000

1,000,000

 

On the Bright Side

There were a couple of economic data point beats, including a strong surge in productivity as unit labor growth declined. It is good news for businesses and investors. Weekly wages in the BLS report came in better than expected, but +0.7% is not a large increase. However, I’m surprised it was even this high, considering how many new jobs were in leisure and hospitality.

Key Economic Data

Actual

Estimate

Productivity

5.4

4.5

Unit Labor Cost

-0.3

-0.8

Weekly Wages

+0.7%

-0.1%

To read the full report, contact your account representative or email Research@wstreet.com

Charles Payne
Wall Street Strategies


 

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