Afternoon Note
The market initially recoiled at the disappointing jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, but disappointment faded as certain elements of the report gained focused. A couple of positive nuggets came from the so-called Household Survey, which does its own job creation tally and calculates the unemployment rate.

Then there’s the U-6 number, which for many is the real unemployment rate (total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force), which continues to decline rapidly to 8.9% for March, from 9.4% in January, and 9.8% a year ago.
The recent peak was 17.10% in March 2010.
Still combing through the jobs report for additional highlights, but I will echo my thoughts from this morning that this looks like an anomaly that doesn’t match a wide swath of data (soft and hard).
I’m feeling confident about the market in general as we move onto earnings, which are expected to be huge, picking up back to back gains in corporate bottom lines.
Have a great weekend.
| Tweet |
| 5/15/2026 1:26 PM | Record Run On Hold |
| 5/15/2026 9:26 AM | BOTTOM FISHING TIME |
| 5/14/2026 1:39 PM | Market Continues to Heat Up |
| 5/14/2026 9:33 AM | OH, NELLY! IT’S GETTING HOT IN HERE… |
| 5/13/2026 1:33 PM | Back to Record Levels |
| 5/13/2026 9:25 AM | THAT'S NOT A MUSHROOM CLOUD |
| 5/12/2026 1:20 PM | Market Takes A Break |
| 5/12/2026 9:39 AM | “HAVE-NOTS” SLUMP WHILE Al PARTY GOES FULL TILT |
| 5/11/2026 1:19 PM | Semiconductor Strength Continues |
| 5/11/2026 9:34 AM | SUMMER OF (IPOs) COMING EARLY |
| 5/8/2026 1:28 PM | Finishing The Week Strong |
| 5/8/2026 9:39 AM | Hot Money Moves to Cold Stocks |
| 5/7/2026 1:14 PM | Taking a Breather |
| 5/7/2026 9:44 AM | Firing on All Cylinders |
| 5/6/2026 1:17 PM | Wednesday Momentum |
| 5/6/2026 9:44 AM | NEW HIGHS BEGET NEW HIGHS (WAIT UNTIL THE CONFLICT IS OVER) |
| 5/5/2026 1:43 PM | Market's Continued Momentum |
| 5/5/2026 9:45 AM | DRUMBEATS GETTING LOUDER |
| 5/4/2026 12:44 PM | Choppy Morning |
| 5/4/2026 9:49 AM | FOCUS ON FUTURE BEYOND SPEED BUMPS |
| 5/1/2026 1:24 PM | Mega-Cap Strength Sets The Tone |
| 5/1/2026 9:24 AM | Closing Out April |
| 4/30/2026 1:26 PM | Earnings Season Heats Up |
| 4/30/2026 9:35 AM | Focus on Future Beyond Speedbumps |
| 4/29/2026 1:22 PM | Fednesday & MegaCap Earnings Bonanza |
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