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Question of the Week

What do you think drives massive GDP revision?
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Morning Commentary

The Tide that Lifts All Ships

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/27/2015 9:53 AM

Markets around the world traded higher last night as investors celebrated the thrilling rally into the close of the US markets. Yesterday marked the third largest point gain in history on the Dow. The S&P 500 had its best day on a percentage basis since 2008 and the NASDAQ gained an impressive 4.2%. The superlative relief rally looks to continue into the open this morning.

As the smoke clears, we are digging into individual stock performance while looking and identifying great stocks that got caught up in the carnage. As the price of crude rebounds over $40, there are rumblings of calls for a bottom. There are certainly some incredible bargains to be found in the oil sector and we are working on a detailed analysis of the sector. In the meantime, if you are looking for oil investments make sure you have downloaded Charles' free special report "The Hype vs The Reality" which has two names to buy now. Click here to access the report.

The old saying is "a rising tide lifts all ships," but not all ships are created equal in an environment like this. There were some stand outs in the financial, cybersecurity, biotech, semiconductor, and consumer retail industries. The economy and market are elastic, so today's biggest winner can be tomorrow's biggest loser. That said, the winners are those with the best fundamental stories. Top line growth above industry based on pricing power, not massive discounting which will be seen in margin expansion, capturing market share, strong pipelines and consistent execution are what we are looking for.

Key earnings reports this morning come from Tiffany (TIF), Burlington Stores (BURL) and Dollar General (DG). TIF came in with a miss while BURL and DG both delivered reports that beat estimates. This on the heels of good reports from Best Buy (BBY) and Express (EXPR) yesterday is giving the sector a lift.

Consolidation deals and share buyback programs are adding to the upside bias. This morning St Jude (STJ) is up on unconfirmed speculation that Abbott Labs (ABT) is preparing a bid. We are looking for more of these types of moves with good companies on sale.

In restaurants, BWLD and CMG are head and shoulders above the rest.

The Fed will likely still hold off on raising rates in September, but the massive gross domestic product (GDP) puts December in play.

Today’s Session

Moments before the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the revised Q2-2015 GDP growth report, the major equity markets began to pull back. But with GDP expanding by 3.7% versus an earlier estimates of +2.3% and the consensus call for +3.5%, the major markets immediately continued their rally. According to the BEA, nonresidential fixed investments and private inventory investments were stronger than the July report showed.


Comments
I am still more worried about Canada
sliding into a recession than anything
else. We have 3OO bill in exports going
to them.

tomwayne on 8/27/2015 10:27:37 AM
Some sum skewer skews askew.

Patricia Flynn on 8/27/2015 11:21:56 AM
Full Time Middle class jobs with benefits drives consumer spending: housing & related consumption of durable goods, autos/recreation/entertainment/vacations: you name it. When the U6 numbers come down and real wage growth occurs GDP will expand.
A revised Tax code will help the Consumer and overall Tax revenues will increase.
It is not rocket science but, politicians and bureaucrats trying to "manage" the economy just muck things up.
When we get really fed up and demand through elections that the career Politicans and Bureaucrats implement the kinds of reforms that benefit the most Citizens? When that happens GSP will zoom ahead.

garro on 8/27/2015 11:30:33 AM
I have read that Mel Watts has quietly reinstated the "affordable housing policy" that was part of the housing crash. Do you think this will affect housing recovery. Thank you for everything you to help the little guy!

Edward Gildone on 8/27/2015 12:17:56 PM
Inventory...up $112 Bil AND, combined with last months increase, the largest back to back inventory increases EVER. No reaction from 10 yr...another example of BS numbers being put out by our illustrious Gov'T agencies

RLB on 8/27/2015 12:19:06 PM
agreed salary cap will be 30 mill kill my rangers

joncon33 on 8/28/2015 11:59:16 AM
 

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