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Morning Commentary

Losing Our Grip

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/12/2015 6:55 AM

Stocks settled off the lows of the session, but there isn’t any confidence out there. Thus far, the year has seen the market move sideways, but the carnage beneath the surface has been masked by big names. While the so-called “fear index,” Volatility Index (VIX), is up by 14%, it is actually lower for the year.  Ironically, it is that kind of complacency that scares some market pros.

That being said, the market is losing its grip and it is uncertain where the next spark comes from.

The Scourge of Cheap Oil

What I find to be ironic is that the lower oil goes down, the market goes down as well. Yesterday, crude was down more than 4% and it continues to get crushed. I was the first to say last year during the initial plunge in crude oil that cheaper gas would not translate into economic growth, but at these levels, even the folks who have stashed extra money in coffee cans will go out to spend a little.

From the stock market’s point of view, oil is having a different impact. And, I get that there are big name stocks that weigh on averages, but there should be a counter move in consumer discretionary names.  Finally, airlines were higher, but we should see good news reflected deeper in the stock market.

Today’s Session

Moreover, it has been tough sledding. Today, we will see how the Street reacts to China, the day after they shocked the world with their currency devaluation.


Comments
The public feels threatened by uncertainty. You could make gas free and I doubt there would be much effect. The coffee cans will remain closed until the administration changes. Than does not include Hilary or Bernie.

Scott Manhart on 8/12/2015 11:18:35 AM
It's very obvious what's going on, its the buying of votes for power through socialistic reforms. The transfer of wealth. Where is the old hippie saying, "Power to the people". No, "power to the government." Fooled you!

E.V. Wagoner on 8/12/2015 3:58:16 PM
What's this about Coffee Cans being closed instead of saving the stock market or, more importantly, the U.S. economy? Maybe you don't consider it noteworthy, but just how much money do you think is in those cans? Upwards of $10 in pennies and nickels? I'll bet you'll retort with cliches like "it's all the liberal (sorry I meant communist) government's fault." Most leaopards never change their spots...do they?

Ralph Meeker on 8/12/2015 5:36:44 PM
 

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