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Question of the Week

President Obama wants to go after Individual Retirement Arrangements (IRAs) because three hundred or so super wealthy families were able to save over $25 million each. However, his new proposal would only enable one to save $3.4 million, or an annual income of $200,000 for 17 years. This does not take into account that people are living much longer nowadays or the fact that the cost of living is continuing to rise. How much money do you think you really need for retirement?
$2.5 million or less
$3.5 million
$5.0 million
$6.0 million or more

Morning Commentary

Hail to the Chief, But Not the Spin

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
1/20/2015 6:49 AM

A part of President Obama's State of the Union (SOTU) address will include taxes that will go well beyond punishing the rich. I think they are part of a wider attempt to right the injustices of yesteryear through saving caps and taxes on inheritance that may not have been available to all fifty years ago.

Using hatred and envy of the rich to unleash a torrent of new taxes is not a new ploy; torchbearers beware... taxes are a beast that can turn when unleashed.

Case in point: In 1966, U.S. Secretary of Treasury Joseph Barr, reported that “155” high-income households had paid zero in federal income taxes. This caused an uproar. By 1969, members of Congress received more letters about the "155" high-income households than the Vietnam War. Therefore, a new tax, the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) was created.

The AMT tax has been amended in recent years as it once threatened to hit as many as 33 million people; 4.5 million will have to pay and it will largely affect middle-class earners.

Now, President Obama wants to go after Individual Retirement Arrangements (IRAs) because three hundred or so super wealthy families, such as Mitt Romney's have socked away $25 million plus. To make the program fair, the most you will be able to save is $3.4 million, roughly $200,000 annually to live off of. I suppose with any more than that and you are just greedy.

The irony is, back in 1966, those wealthy families earned $200,000, it put them on top, but it would barely keep a family above water in New York City these days.

Another Reason Not to Own a Home

The estate tax is not just rich people's problem anymore. Soon, it is going to be a killer for the rich and the non-rich alike. Let's say your mom leaves you the house, it is worth $250,000, and later you sell it for $300,000. Today, your tax could be based on a $50,000 gain, but not if President Obama gets his way. If your mom and dad paid $50,000 for the house, your tax would be based on a gain of $250,000. It was a good way to soak in more dough and extract justice four years ago when it was harder for some Americans to buy homes.

Estate Tax New Math

Current Option

SOTU Proposal

Mom & Dad Paid

N/A

$50,000

Worth Upon Death

$250,000

$250,000

Sell

$300,000

$300,000

Cap Gain Tax on Porperty

$50,000

$250,000

 
Talk about double taxation! First, an inheritance tax, and then, a capital gains tax that reaches back to parents and grandparents as if meting out social justice.

True SOTU

As someone who loves the theater of politics, there is nothing better than the pomp and circumstance of the State of the Union address. However, after the backslapping and applause, it will mostly be a selling tool for the standing president. So, we are going to hear a lot of self-congratulations tonight that will sound like a fairy tale of a foreign country because, in your minds, the ‘real State of the Union’ is completely different. In a Fox News poll, 64% of people believe the nation was still in a recession, which is down from 74% a year ago, and 86% in 2010... but not the stuff warranting victory laps.

A Pew Poll is even more dire... as 55% say they are falling behind.

A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll shows only 3% think the nation is strong.

In addition, when Bankrate asked people how they would pay for a $1,000 emergency, only 38% said they could get it from savings.

Tonight is about selling. The fact of the matter is, America has a long way to go.

Today’s Session

The major equity indices indicated higher this morning, ready to reverse the trend of losses experienced since the start of this year. However, closer to the start of the session, the indices trended lower, though still well in the green. Later today, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) will release its housing market index. The report is a survey that provides insight on how members of the organization feel about the general economy and housing market conditions.

Below are some of the major companies that reported this morning.

Company

EPS

Consensus

Revenue ($M)

EPS Guidance

EPS Consensus

BHI

1.44

1.07

$6,635

-

FY15 2.89

DAL*

0.78

0.77

$9,647

-

FY15 4.88

HAL

1.19

1.10

$8,770

-

FY15 2.95

JNJ

1.27

1.25

$18,250

FY15 6.12-6.27

FY15 6.13

MS

0.40

0.47

$7,764

-

FY15 2.91

RF

0.14

0.21

$1,268

-

FY15 0.86

*Open WSS Position


Comments
You're right. The SOTU will be more political theater. Obama will pander to his base, knowing no way the Republicans will pass all of these tax hikes. Then, he can continue to point at the Republucans as the obstructionists and Party of No, while he vetoes Keystone and other job creating bills.
Enjoy the theater. I won't be watching.

Angie on 1/20/2015 7:45:26 AM
Charles,I always enjoy your commentary, but I believe the tax plan is purely political in that by having it blocked by a Republican Congress and Senate, he can paint the GOP as the party exclusively of the rich. It's class warfare at its worst.

John Fry on 1/20/2015 10:24:42 AM
Obama has crossed the line into subversion and is headed for treason in just about everything he has done. Simple as that.

Z on 1/20/2015 10:54:13 AM
None

Judy Body on 1/20/2015 10:55:07 AM
Greatly appreciate the comments from Payne!!

Don Dillon on 1/20/2015 11:01:49 AM
Many people and companies will simply be moving to states with low or no income and inheritance taxes to offset any new Federal tax liabilities. More Blue-State blues.

Dale on 1/20/2015 11:33:29 AM
He always gives a good speech..in Texas we say he is Big hat and No cattle!

Joe Pryor on 1/20/2015 11:59:29 AM
can he do the estate tax new math idea by executive order ?

jim c on 1/20/2015 12:31:32 PM
That's your problem, $200K in almost any other part of the country, and you can live like a king. 8.5% ROI on 3.5 million is $300K a year. Move just after you hit full retirement age.


Ken Gervais on 1/20/2015 7:34:24 PM
Charles:

The reason the public is ignorant on the state of the economy is because of the BS the Republicans keep handing them. Influential people like you should and can help by hammering some of that "make believe BS".

Wayne Phelan on 1/21/2015 9:13:26 AM
How much would it cost to retire this government?? Priceless

Susannah Rawlins on 1/21/2015 2:52:04 PM
No way! How are you going to figure this out if there are little or no records. Just to pay for more entitlements. No way!!!

Vic Lambert on 1/21/2015 6:09:00 PM
My wife & I are frugal - not cheap, but frugal - we go out to the local bar and can spend $75/visit on beer and we buy friends drinks - however, we don't spend on things we don't NEED (I do NEED the bar!)- we were looking at a new car and said "Do we NEED a new car - NO! we will stick with our 2005 for a little longer.

Hank on 1/21/2015 6:31:48 PM
You need money to live aggressively between 60 and 80. After that you will slow down considerably and won't need much money

Richie Rich on 1/22/2015 8:26:36 PM
obama hates white people, because he believes that they control the money. He Should look around , because the U.S. is a different country from 35 Years ago.It is very apparent to me.
By the time obama leaves office the united states will be completely weakened and the world will much worse off in the future then today.
The president is an embarrassment , as i see it


tom on 1/23/2015 6:27:51 PM
 

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