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Morning Commentary

MARKET’S WILT WITHOUT MIRACLE DRUG

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
4/24/2020 9:54 AM

Thursday was the kind of session that sets up bigger sessions. The market surged out of the gate, meandered, pulled back, and found a second wind. By midmorning, it was all systems go, as the Dow powered ahead by 410 points when breaking news about Gilead’s (GILD) antiviral drug remdesivir dropped on the market like a ton of bricks.

A leaked report posted by the Financial Times sapped the excitement that the drug could be a possible treatment for COVID-19 (and in the process) derailed the rally. Gilead management dismissed the report, which stopped its share price mid-freefall, but the broader rally wilted into the closing bell.

New data on Gilead’s remdesivir, released by accident, show no benefit for coronavirus patients. Company still sees reason for hope

According to the summary of the China study, remdesivir was “not associated with a difference in time to clinical improvement” compared to a standard of care control. After one month, it appeared 13.9% of the remdesivir patients had died compared to 12.8% of patients in the control arm. The difference was not statistically significant.

“In this study of hospitalized adult patients with severe COVID-19 that was terminated prematurely, remdesivir was not associated with clinical or virological benefits,” the summary states. The study was terminated prematurely because it was difficult to enroll patients in China, where the number of Covid-19 cases was decreasing.

An outside researcher said that the results mean that any benefit from remdesivir is likely to be small.

Stat News

https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/23/data-on-gileads-remdesivir-released-by-accident-show-no-benefit-for-coronavirus-patients/

Although the rally was erased, investors can take solace in the session. The market put the brakes on when all the major indices were going to turn red, and buyers emerged until they gave up the ghost in the final minutes of trading. Gilead management also left a degree of hope for their would-be miracle drug. The bottom line is while still fragile, this news would have broken the investors rather than simply dent their renewed optimism.

It Looked Better Under the Hood

The internals held up even as stocks were sinking into the close. All key measures of market breadth were positive, including more 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ Composite. What stood out was the advancing volume versus declining volume.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancing

1,817

1,923

Declining

1,136

1,289

52 Week High

21

38

52 Week Low

18

24

Advancing

4.05B

2.27B

Declining

1.75B

1.48B

Mixed Leadership

Early in the session, most S&P sectors were higher, but it became more of a mixed bag into the closing bell. Defensive sectors struggled most of the day as buyers were focused on making money, not just seeking shelter.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) was the stock of the day after posting results that saw improved operating ratio and earnings, as revenue per shipment +3.9%, ex-fuel surcharge +4.6%.

S&P 500 Index

 

-0.05%

Communication Services XLC

+0.71%

 

Consumer Discretionary XLY

 

-0.03%

Consumer Staples XLP

 

-0.89%

Energy XLE

+3.23%

 

Financials XLF

 

-0.42%

Health Care XLV

+0.55%

 

Industrials XLI

+0.79%

 

Materials XLB

+0.70%

 

Real Estate XLRE

 

-1.14%

Technology XLK

 

-0.69%

Utilities XLU

 

-1.68%

Market Leadership

Although the media remained fixated on oil - which has recovered nicely from woes earlier in the week - the fact is crude oil didn’t lead the broad market higher. In fact, crude oil companies and stocks do not have the clout once wielded over a decade ago when politicians were calling them out on every campaign stump.

Right now, I think most action is from fast money traders, and I don’t rule out another test when the May contract expires. The S&P 500 is much more influenced by household heavyweights: Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google (see below). Exxon Mobil is #24, and Chevron is #32 in weights in the S&P 500.

#

Company

Symbol

Weight

      Price

Chg

% Chg

1

Microsoft Corporation

MSFT

5.703094

   170.99

-2.53

(-1.46%)

2

Apple Inc.

AAPL

4.9682

   274.28

-1.82

(-0.66%)

3

Amazon.com Inc.

AMZN

4.240843

   2,397.40

33.91

(1.43%)

4

Facebook Inc. Class A

FB

1.890219

   184.66

2.38

(1.31%)

5

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

1.735086

   155.37

2.38

(1.56%)

6

Alphabet Inc. Class C

GOOG

1.626855

   1,273.30

10.09

(0.80%)

7

Alphabet Inc. Class A

GOOGL

1.624794

   1,267.50

9.09

(0.72%)

8

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B

BRK.B

1.572681

   185.47

-1.11

(-0.59%)

9

Procter & Gamble Company

PG

1.283407

   119.03

-0.37

(-0.31%)

10

Visa Inc. Class A

V

1.228601

   166.05

-0.54

(-0.32%)

11

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM

1.207232

   89.46

0.12

(0.13%)

12

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

UNH

1.131323

   285.99

8.97

(3.24%)

13

Intel Corporation

INTC

1.126335

   56.04

-4.06

(-6.76%)

14

Verizon Communications Inc.

VZ

1.033791

   57.85

-0.14

(-0.24%)

15

Mastercard Incorporated Class A

MA

0.983013

   255.70

-1.21

(-0.47%)

16

Home Depot Inc.

HD

0.959541

   202.30

-1.87

(-0.92%)

17

AT&T Inc.

T

0.927484

   29.47

0.00

(0.00%)

18

Merck & Co. Inc.

MRK

0.877657

   81.00

1.02

(1.28%)

19

Pfizer Inc.

PFE

0.864658

   36.70

0.45

(1.24%)

20

Walmart Inc.

WMT

0.804742

   128.25

-3.34

(-2.54%)

21

PepsiCo Inc.

PEP

0.796728

   130.26

-2.36

(-1.78%)

22

Netflix Inc.

NFLX

0.795996

   425.00

3.58

(0.85%)

23

Walt Disney Company

DIS

0.784569

   100.87

-0.12

(-0.12%)

24

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

0.768354

   43.49

1.36

(3.23%)

25

Cisco Systems Inc.

CSCO

0.763564

   41.60

-0.16

(-0.38%)

26

Bank of America Corp

BAC

0.760797

   21.87

0.07

(0.32%)

27

Coca-Cola Company

KO

0.759231

   45.07

-0.61

(-1.34%)

28

NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA

0.754623

   280.70

-5.45

(-1.90%)

29

Abbott Laboratories

ABT

0.727175

   94.02

-1.46

(-1.53%)

30

Adobe Inc.

ADBE

0.70276

   335.06

-1.71

(-0.51%)

31

Comcast Corporation Class A

CMCSA

0.69913

   36.00

0.27

(0.76%)

32

Chevron Corporation

CVX

0.688319

   86.52

2.08

(2.46%)

Portfolio Approach

Today’s Session

This morning two big names, American Express (AXP) and Verizon (VZ) posted earnings, which beat, but Covid 19 had a big impact on results.

The major indices are in the modestly in the green this morning.  


Comments
Gilead CEO Daniel O’Day - Letter: APRIL 10, 2020
"...the China remdesivir trials rests with the Chinese investigators, but we have been informed that the study in patients with severe symptoms was stopped due to STALLED ENROLLMENT.

Do you think WHO 4-23 release was Chinese propaganda?

James C. Brandt on 4/24/2020 12:33:34 PM
I don’t believe much that comes out of the Financial Times. They have an agenda.

Robert Gunyan on 4/24/2020 12:33:38 PM
 

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