Morning Commentary
Thursday was the kind of session that sets up bigger sessions. The market surged out of the gate, meandered, pulled back, and found a second wind. By midmorning, it was all systems go, as the Dow powered ahead by 410 points when breaking news about Gilead’s (GILD) antiviral drug remdesivir dropped on the market like a ton of bricks.
A leaked report posted by the Financial Times sapped the excitement that the drug could be a possible treatment for COVID-19 (and in the process) derailed the rally. Gilead management dismissed the report, which stopped its share price mid-freefall, but the broader rally wilted into the closing bell.
New data on Gilead’s remdesivir, released by accident, show no benefit for coronavirus patients. Company still sees reason for hope According to the summary of the China study, remdesivir was “not associated with a difference in time to clinical improvement” compared to a standard of care control. After one month, it appeared 13.9% of the remdesivir patients had died compared to 12.8% of patients in the control arm. The difference was not statistically significant. “In this study of hospitalized adult patients with severe COVID-19 that was terminated prematurely, remdesivir was not associated with clinical or virological benefits,” the summary states. The study was terminated prematurely because it was difficult to enroll patients in China, where the number of Covid-19 cases was decreasing. An outside researcher said that the results mean that any benefit from remdesivir is likely to be small. Stat News |
Although the rally was erased, investors can take solace in the session. The market put the brakes on when all the major indices were going to turn red, and buyers emerged until they gave up the ghost in the final minutes of trading. Gilead management also left a degree of hope for their would-be miracle drug. The bottom line is while still fragile, this news would have broken the investors rather than simply dent their renewed optimism.
It Looked Better Under the Hood
The internals held up even as stocks were sinking into the close. All key measures of market breadth were positive, including more 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ Composite. What stood out was the advancing volume versus declining volume.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancing |
1,817 |
1,923 |
Declining |
1,136 |
1,289 |
52 Week High |
21 |
38 |
52 Week Low |
18 |
24 |
Advancing |
4.05B |
2.27B |
Declining |
1.75B |
1.48B |
Mixed Leadership
Early in the session, most S&P sectors were higher, but it became more of a mixed bag into the closing bell. Defensive sectors struggled most of the day as buyers were focused on making money, not just seeking shelter.
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) was the stock of the day after posting results that saw improved operating ratio and earnings, as revenue per shipment +3.9%, ex-fuel surcharge +4.6%.
S&P 500 Index |
-0.05% |
|
Communication Services XLC |
+0.71% |
|
Consumer Discretionary XLY |
-0.03% |
|
Consumer Staples XLP |
-0.89% |
|
Energy XLE |
+3.23% |
|
Financials XLF |
-0.42% |
|
Health Care XLV |
+0.55% |
|
Industrials XLI |
+0.79% |
|
Materials XLB |
+0.70% |
|
Real Estate XLRE |
-1.14% |
|
Technology XLK |
-0.69% |
|
Utilities XLU |
-1.68% |
Market Leadership
Although the media remained fixated on oil - which has recovered nicely from woes earlier in the week - the fact is crude oil didn’t lead the broad market higher. In fact, crude oil companies and stocks do not have the clout once wielded over a decade ago when politicians were calling them out on every campaign stump.
Right now, I think most action is from fast money traders, and I don’t rule out another test when the May contract expires. The S&P 500 is much more influenced by household heavyweights: Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google (see below). Exxon Mobil is #24, and Chevron is #32 in weights in the S&P 500.
# |
Company |
Symbol |
Weight |
Price |
Chg |
% Chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Microsoft Corporation |
MSFT |
5.703094 |
170.99 |
-2.53 |
(-1.46%) |
2 |
Apple Inc. |
AAPL |
4.9682 |
274.28 |
-1.82 |
(-0.66%) |
3 |
Amazon.com Inc. |
AMZN |
4.240843 |
2,397.40 |
33.91 |
(1.43%) |
4 |
Facebook Inc. Class A |
FB |
1.890219 |
184.66 |
2.38 |
(1.31%) |
5 |
Johnson & Johnson |
JNJ |
1.735086 |
155.37 |
2.38 |
(1.56%) |
6 |
Alphabet Inc. Class C |
GOOG |
1.626855 |
1,273.30 |
10.09 |
(0.80%) |
7 |
Alphabet Inc. Class A |
GOOGL |
1.624794 |
1,267.50 |
9.09 |
(0.72%) |
8 |
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B |
BRK.B |
1.572681 |
185.47 |
-1.11 |
(-0.59%) |
9 |
Procter & Gamble Company |
PG |
1.283407 |
119.03 |
-0.37 |
(-0.31%) |
10 |
Visa Inc. Class A |
V |
1.228601 |
166.05 |
-0.54 |
(-0.32%) |
11 |
JPMorgan Chase & Co. |
JPM |
1.207232 |
89.46 |
0.12 |
(0.13%) |
12 |
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated |
UNH |
1.131323 |
285.99 |
8.97 |
(3.24%) |
13 |
Intel Corporation |
INTC |
1.126335 |
56.04 |
-4.06 |
(-6.76%) |
14 |
Verizon Communications Inc. |
VZ |
1.033791 |
57.85 |
-0.14 |
(-0.24%) |
15 |
Mastercard Incorporated Class A |
MA |
0.983013 |
255.70 |
-1.21 |
(-0.47%) |
16 |
Home Depot Inc. |
HD |
0.959541 |
202.30 |
-1.87 |
(-0.92%) |
17 |
AT&T Inc. |
T |
0.927484 |
29.47 |
0.00 |
(0.00%) |
18 |
Merck & Co. Inc. |
MRK |
0.877657 |
81.00 |
1.02 |
(1.28%) |
19 |
Pfizer Inc. |
PFE |
0.864658 |
36.70 |
0.45 |
(1.24%) |
20 |
Walmart Inc. |
WMT |
0.804742 |
128.25 |
-3.34 |
(-2.54%) |
21 |
PepsiCo Inc. |
PEP |
0.796728 |
130.26 |
-2.36 |
(-1.78%) |
22 |
Netflix Inc. |
NFLX |
0.795996 |
425.00 |
3.58 |
(0.85%) |
23 |
Walt Disney Company |
DIS |
0.784569 |
100.87 |
-0.12 |
(-0.12%) |
24 |
Exxon Mobil Corporation |
XOM |
0.768354 |
43.49 |
1.36 |
(3.23%) |
25 |
Cisco Systems Inc. |
CSCO |
0.763564 |
41.60 |
-0.16 |
(-0.38%) |
26 |
Bank of America Corp |
BAC |
0.760797 |
21.87 |
0.07 |
(0.32%) |
27 |
Coca-Cola Company |
KO |
0.759231 |
45.07 |
-0.61 |
(-1.34%) |
28 |
NVIDIA Corporation |
NVDA |
0.754623 |
280.70 |
-5.45 |
(-1.90%) |
29 |
Abbott Laboratories |
ABT |
0.727175 |
94.02 |
-1.46 |
(-1.53%) |
30 |
Adobe Inc. |
ADBE |
0.70276 |
335.06 |
-1.71 |
(-0.51%) |
31 |
Comcast Corporation Class A |
CMCSA |
0.69913 |
36.00 |
0.27 |
(0.76%) |
32 |
Chevron Corporation |
CVX |
0.688319 |
86.52 |
2.08 |
(2.46%) |
Portfolio Approach
Today’s Session
This morning two big names, American Express (AXP) and Verizon (VZ) posted earnings, which beat, but Covid 19 had a big impact on results.
The major indices are in the modestly in the green this morning.
Comments |
Gilead CEO Daniel O’Day - Letter: APRIL 10, 2020 "...the China remdesivir trials rests with the Chinese investigators, but we have been informed that the study in patients with severe symptoms was stopped due to STALLED ENROLLMENT. Do you think WHO 4-23 release was Chinese propaganda? James C. Brandt on 4/24/2020 12:33:34 PM |
I don’t believe much that comes out of the Financial Times. They have an agenda. Robert Gunyan on 4/24/2020 12:33:38 PM |
Tweet |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
4/15/2024 9:45 AM | Equal Opportunity Drubbing |
4/12/2024 1:37 PM | Pressure Overall |
4/12/2024 9:42 AM | WHO YA GONNA CALL? |
4/11/2024 1:38 PM | No Urgency |
4/11/2024 9:27 AM | Tough Sledding |
4/10/2024 1:22 PM | Hang In There |
4/10/2024 9:51 AM | HERE COMES THE LATEST RATIONALE FOR PERSISTENT INFLATION |
4/9/2024 1:56 PM | Fighting the Trend |
4/9/2024 9:46 AM | NEXT TIME, MAKE IT A HOLIDAY |
4/8/2024 9:45 PM | Cautious Feel |
4/8/2024 7:19 AM | IT’S ECLIPSE DAY |
4/5/2024 1:51 PM | Higher and Cheaper |
4/5/2024 9:23 AM | MARKETS REEL ON BIDEN’S ISRAEL ULTIMATUM |
4/4/2024 1:42 PM | Stocks Bounce |
4/4/2024 9:31 AM | ESCAPING GRAVITY = ESCAPING REALITY? |
4/3/2024 1:41 PM | Cuts Not Soon |
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