Afternoon Note
The ISM non-manufacturing survey missed expectations, dropping four points from August to a reading of 52.6 and well below consensus of 55.3. The service sector is still expanding – a reading above 50 percent indicates the sector is expanding – but the numbers were the lowest since August 2016.
Percentage Point Moves
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
While the report was a disappointment, the market is now cheering for more rate cuts ahead. Odds are 90% for a rate cut at the end of October, and 50% now for December. And while this is great for stocks, U.S. Treasury yields have continued to go down with the 10 year now at 1.534% and the 2 year down to 1.386%.
The market dropped fast on the release of the ISM services/non-manufacturing report but has since had a huge reversal. At the lows:
Now:
FAANG stocks have been hit hard of late, but Facebook (FB) is helping to reversing the trend on the announcement of the camera/messaging app through Instagram. FB is higher by 2.4%. Snap (SNAP), however, is getting hit on the news and is down over 5%.
+0.54% |
|
|
Communication Services (XLC) |
+0.71% |
|
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) |
|
-0.04% |
Consumer Staples (XLP) |
+0.97% |
|
Energy (XLE) |
+0.39% |
|
Financials (XLF) |
-0.26% |
|
Health Care (XLV) |
+0.59% |
|
Industrials (XLI) |
+0.04% |
|
Materials (XLB) |
-0.11% |
|
Real Estate (XLRE) |
+0.95% |
|
Technology (XLK) |
+0.91% |
|
Utilities (XLU) |
+0.09% |
Factory orders for August were down 0.1%, compared to an increase of 1.4% in July. Shipments were also lower by 0.1% after dropping 0.3% in July. Business spending slowed in August once again.
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