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Market Commentary

Date With New Highs

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
2/20/2019 12:46 PM

It’s another quiet session with major indices higher, but only fractionally higher, which might suggest lethargy or maybe topping action.  But beneath the surface, this rally is getting stronger.

Just consider, yesterday’s slim index gains masked the overwhelming strength.

As I noted this morning, yesterday’s session seemed lackluster.  However, on the NYSE, there were 76% more winners than losers, and up volume was a billion more shares than down volume, as 122 names hit high 52-week highs against only 10 declining to new lows.

Plus, buying continues across the spectrum unlike the last couple of years where losing sectors and stocks were increasing even as those big indices were climbing to new highs.

S&P 500 Index

+11%

Communication Services (XLC)

+12%

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

+12%

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+7%

Energy (XLE)

+16%

Financials (XLF)

+11%

Health Care (XLV)

+7%

Industrials (XLI)

+18%

Materials (XLB)

+9%

Real Estate (XLRE)

+13%

Technology (XLK)

+12%

Utilities (XLU)

+6%

 

Much has been made of where the market goes based on January’s performance, but history has been especially kind to the market when January and February are higher.

And for me, the most important reason I think this market will hit new all-time highs soon is because the pros are missing the rally.  The smartest folks, which are perhaps spooked by their own algorithmic machines, are sitting on a ton of cash.  Even if they are in equities, generally, it’s not U.S. stocks, and not in industrials and energy in particular.

I’m pumped when the experts are confounded, flat footed and need to get in sooner rather than later.

Now, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve and this afternoon’s FOMC release.

Let’s not force the issue this afternoon.


Comments
Charles, you amaze the experts, by reading & reporting FACTS based on TRUTH and experience. Never tied to a chart, or propaganda news media fear & emotions. This bull market continues 2019, SP 3000, NASDAQ 8090, Dow 28,950 all by years end. Barring unseen wars, Democrats caused civil war, etc
Mrkt goes up. A few back fills but bull market continues. Thank you Charles PAYNE & FBN . Thank you president Trump. We the dirty fingernail worker's USA LEGAL CITIZENS TAXPAYERS have finally got a president, even with ALL the swamp, rinos. And dems & their mainstream media propaganda, and the COUP MEMBERS, PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS SUCCEEDED MORE,& MORE. NOW IMAGINE WHAT HE CAN GET DONE WITHOUT ALL THE A**HATS AGAINST HIM FOR FIXING OUR COUNTRY USA. LIFE IS GREAT INVEST LONG.

Ed on 2/20/2019 1:05:19 PM
charles be blunt u can never make more than 40,000 a yr if u dont save even 10.00 a wk the reason the pople over 50,000 keep making more money is they are invested not buying toys cars latest gaget i been there done that till u become financialy responsible free sounds great tell people 10.00 a week can and will change your life especialy if youre young but even 100,000 with Social security big difference educate people

garry brewer on 2/20/2019 2:59:32 PM
 

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