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Afternoon Note

S&P 500 - Retest?

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
10/18/2018 1:10 PM

The market was settling into a pattern this week that saw the major averages climb off sessions lows each day, and it appeared the same would happen today when stocks began staging big moves higher.  Then, the bottom fell out from two breaking news items.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi issued a stern warning to European Union countries ignoring budget rules.  With Britain in the midst of exiting the EU, and Italy in full defiance of the arrangement, there is a sense the whole deal could unwind.

Draghi comments:

Shortly after that communique came word that U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will skip the Saudi investment conference.

Tweet

Steven Mnuchin‏

Just met with @realDonaldTrump and @SecPompeo and we have decided, I will not be participating in the Future Investment Initiative summit in Saudi Arabia.

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

On Tuesday, the Dow rallied to retrace 42% of the recent selloff, then it ran out of steam.  Now, the key support point for the Dow is 25,052.  Meanwhile, a larger swath of the market has settled into correction and bear market territory.

In the morning report, we will have more on how to handle oversold positions.  This is the time to look at fundamentals for difficult decisions, from closing some, to adding to others.  The key right now is to understand most of the action in the market has nothing to do with fundamentals or potential. 

Technically, the S&P 500 has come back down to retest its 200-day moving average at 2,768, today’s low was 2,766. 

Breadth:


Comments
From here forward I will be selling in upward markets moments to reduce my exposure to the market. Seems you make more money in the market when money is very cheap; rather than in a good economy as we have now. Just the way it works.

Jim on 10/18/2018 1:40:11 PM
Prepare to make money!!!

Lew Harris on 10/18/2018 1:47:38 PM
Charles, all the info is available from Turkey &haters of Saudi government, sure seems ODD 17 people would be needed to grab the wash POST Amazon reporter
Whom wrote &was in allegiance with Obsama bin Ladin, & wrote praises of his attacks on Saudi government &USA Allies. Turkey could very easily have set this up with Saudis that are against the new Saudi government, PLUS IRAN factors. Anyway this is a low numbers selling, knee jerks, so look for buys, Israel, & our troops really benefit from UNITY with Saudi government &USA allies to defeat IRAN.

Ed on 10/18/2018 2:06:58 PM
There's too much uncertainty in the market right now causing added stress at a time when I think most investors believe the market is overdue for a correction anyway. I believe we need 1) the Federal Reserve to back off of their plan to continue raising interest rates until the world economy stabilizes and resumes reasonable growth, 2) a trade agreement with China, and 3) get past the mid-term elections. Maybe that would be enough to settle down the markets for awhile.

George Elliott on 10/18/2018 2:11:55 PM
 

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