Afternoon Note
Retail Sales
On the day Sears officially announces its filing for bankruptcy, September retail sales came in less than expected; although, there are many moving parts, and some are robust.
September Retail & Food Sales |
M/M |
Y/Y |
Headline |
+0.1% |
+4.7% |
Retail |
+0.4% |
+4.4% |
Motor Vehicle |
+0.8% |
+1.1% |
Furniture & Home Furnishing |
+1.1% |
+4.3% |
Electronics |
+0.9% |
+5.8% |
Building Materials |
+0.1% |
+1.5% |
Grocery Stores |
-0.1% |
+2.7% |
Health & Personal Care |
-0.3% |
+4.1% |
Gasoline |
-0.8% |
+11.4% |
Clothing |
+0.5% |
+4.6% |
Sporting Goods |
+0.7% |
-3.8% |
Department Stores |
-0.8% |
-1.5% |
Internet |
+1.1% |
+11.4% |
Restaurants |
-1.8% |
+7.1% |
Perhaps the biggest highlight is the control group, which is used in GDP calculations and excludes food, services, auto dealers, building materials and gasoline stories increased +0.5%, which was stronger than expected.
Empire State manufacturing
The NY Fed report on manufacturing came in stronger than expected. The manufacturing renaissance continues:
Highlights:
Empire Highlights |
Reported |
Change |
General |
21.1 |
+2.1 |
New Orders |
22.5 |
+6.0 |
Shipments |
62.3 |
+12.0 |
Employees |
9.0 |
-4.3 |
+0.07% |
|
+0.37% |
|
+0.24% |
|
+0.90% |
|
-0.18% |
|
+0.28% |
|
-0.09% |
|
+0.47% |
|
+0.52% |
|
+1.05% |
|
-0.59% |
|
+0.62% |
So far, there has been two rally attempts.
There has been defensive buying as real estate (top performer), utilities and staples are higher. There is major selling in big tech.
Breadth: Improving
Comments |
Thank you Charles, your 2pm show is going to dominate & perfection for giving private investors your "God given gifts " for knowledge of the market, and what people need to know & understand. You sir are an excellent PT MAN. WE HOPE, & PRAY, YOU GET A HUGE BENEFITS & RAISE, plus a massive EXPENCE account that is above all else, YOU , GOOD SIR , DESERVE THE MONEY & PROMOTION. Sadly please note Paul Allen of MSFT passed away today. We heard at the hospital where he was in patient care. Ed on 10/15/2018 6:14:39 PM |
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