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Afternoon Note

Market Resolve

By Willie Walker, Senior Research Analyst
8/8/2018 1:33 PM

Initially, equites opened lower but found the resolve to rally into positive territory on the back of financials.  The KBW Bank Index is trading higher by 0.48%.  With earnings winding down, 90% of S&P 500 companies have reported, the results are impressive, and the resolve shows the markets are happy.  A 24% increase in earnings coupled with a 9% jump in revenues are lending a bid to the markets. 

Crude Inventories

Crude oil has been trading in a range between $72.5 and $67.  Today, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly inventory report.  Domestic crude stockpile decreased 1.4 million barrels vs market expectations of a 2.8 million-barrel draw. 

EIA Petroleum Inventories

Actual

Expected

Crude Oil

-1.4 million

-2.8 million

Gasoline

2.9 million

-1.7 million

Distillates

1.2 million

0.2 million

Crude was trading @ $68 prior to the report at 10:30am.  Currently, crude is trading below the bottom of its recent range @ $66.42, down $2.76 (-4.00%). 

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest weekly Mortgage Applications Survey showed mortgage applications decreased 3% from the prior week, to its lowest level since January 2016.  Year over year mortgage applications are 17% lower.  This is the third week in a row to show a decline.  Rising prices are stifling demand for homes, especially for new homebuyers.  New homebuyer purchase volume was down 2% from the previous week as well as from a year ago.  According to CoreLogic, home prices rose 6.8% in June from year ago levels.  


 

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