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Question of the Week

Which one of these comebacks will be successful and which one will fall flat on its face? Corzine, Tebow or the Fanny Bag
Post your answer below.

Morning Commentary

China Takes & Gives

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
4/20/2015 6:05 AM

Why does the market have to correct? It has to correct because the rally is long in the tooth. Market bears have griped about the lack of a correction (which is a decline of 20% or more) for a long time. However, even more upsetting is how long it’s been since the market had a garden variety pullback- a 10% decline.

Well, they had to feel a lot better on Friday as the market stumbled out the gate and never regained equilibrium.

There are a bunch of theories on why the weakness, including news out of China and Greece, however many point to the higher core-consumer price index (CPI) as the biggest source of pressure. The core number does not include food or energy prices. However, that number, while in a declining long-term downtrend, is higher this year and Americans are now worried about inflation.

If inflation becomes an issue, it will force the Fed to hike rates, although June is off the table, more and more mavens are calling for September.

Turn Those Machines Back On!

On Friday, equity markets around the world, including the United States, were hit hard when China loosened rules to make shorting stocks easier. Well, they took a page from the character Mortimer Duke, to "Turn those machines back on!"

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced a dramatic cut in reserve requirements to 18.5% that will unleash $194 billion into their economic system.

This big move in China leaves its reserve levels significantly higher than America, which is still far too high at 10%.

US Reserve Requirements

% of liabilities

$0 to $14.5 million

Zero

$14.5 million to $103.6 million

3%

More than $103.6 million

10%

 
For all the trillions pumped into banks, Main Street has been shut out by rules ostensibly sold as punishment and a way to curb risk at those same banks.

Don't Call it a Comeback...

Big-time comebacks- The Philadelphia Eagles have signed Tim Tebow, and reportedly, he will have a shot at becoming the starting quarterback.

Apparently, Jon Corzine is ready to start a hedge fund. Many say the infamous Wall Street powerhouse is lucky not to be in jail.

In addition, the hippest concert in the world, Coachella, has ushered in the return of the fanny pack… for men!

Today’s Session

Speaking of comebacks, the major equity markets are slowly climbing their way back to former highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has already recovered over 100 points. The Chicago Fed’s March national activity index report was a doozey, coming in much lower than estimates and last month’s readings. However, the positive earnings reports may be enough to keep the market in check. Below are some of the companies that reported this morning.

Company

Date

EPS

Consensus

Revenue ($M)

FY EPS Guidance

FY EPS Consensus

HAL

20-Apr

0.49

B 0.11

7,050

-

1.14

HAS

20-Apr

0.21

B 0.13

714

-

3.28

MS

20-Apr

0.85

B 0.06

9,907

-

2.89

PLD

20-Apr

0.49

M 0.01

463

2.07-2.13

2.08

RCL

20-Apr

0.20

B 0.06

1,816

4.45-4.65

4.74


Comments
All of the above

Lynn Mutch on 4/20/2015 11:38:30 AM
Tebow seems like a great guy but is being set up. He does not have the tools to be an NFL starter. Nonetheless, I am rooting for him.
Corzine should stay out of the public eye. Who would invest with him?
Fanny bags - why would it be anything but a passing fancy?
Why are we worrying about these absurdities when there are really important matters to consider?

Harold sader on 4/20/2015 12:10:38 PM
My concern is when the pull-back happens it will be swift and deep. The professional traders are ready with a strategy, but the ordinary invester will see a large reduction in the value of their portfolio. I'm currently 85% out of the market. I will know when the market is down 10% to 20%, I'll see it on FOX NEWS.

Chris Reinhardt on 4/20/2015 12:44:08 PM
I hope that Corzine falls on his face (how is it that he is not in jail?), I suspect that Tim Tebow will be a backup again, and I expect the fanny bag to make a comeback

dick Denecker on 4/20/2015 2:07:56 PM
talking about pullbacks/corrections -- didn't the 9.9% pullback last December count for anything? Or does "close" still only count in horseshoes and hand grenades?

dick Denecker on 4/20/2015 2:15:16 PM
We've heard the same "pullback" cry in 2012,2013,2014 and now.Face it, you've missed the market. Most stocks have been 20% off their highs.

E.V. Wagoner on 4/20/2015 2:57:21 PM
With a little help from Hillary, the fanny bag should be back in no time.

If she's elected, Corzine will ask for and get a complete pardon.

Dennis Howard on 4/20/2015 2:59:24 PM
Relegate all three to the stale diversions depository.

Patricia Flynn on 4/20/2015 3:44:19 PM
 

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